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Taro's picture

Ackley looks like a massive upgrade over Figgins so far, but I think LF may be in for some regression (Halman/Peguero hitting over their heads probably). Still think the hitting improves a bit in the 2nd half as Ichiro regresses slightly upwards, Ackley a big upgrade, downgrade in LF, perhaps less from C in 2nd half, concerned about Guti. Probably a 3-5 OPS+ improvement.
The pitching will probably regress more than the hitting improves though. The Pineda/Bedard spots mostly, slightly regression from Fister/Vargas should be covered by a stronger 2nd half from Felix, bullpen might be quite a bit worse. Would guess for a 5-8 ERA+ decrease. The team HR/FB% against is running very low. Some of that is pitching and the park, but there will be regression there.

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