Tons of respect for Sandy, but your comment is a tad too much "green-eye-shade" accounting. You can't plan for winning the pennant with 80 OPS+ every year either (not saying that's what Sandy is proposing).
You need the Ackley/Pineda/Smoak base of underpaid stars AND the Carp/Seager and/or Catricala/Franklin and/or Pimentel/Triunfel bust-out-scrub grab-bag so you can afford to overpay (in years or $) for a superstar or two to put you over the top.
You can't plan for never overpaying in years, unless you plan on having a remarkable streak of young players who all pan out and never get injured plus remarkable luck with journeyman guys all having great years together (2010 SF Giants; and they actually had a HUGE dead-weight contract [Zito] on their books when they did it). That's not a sustainable plan either.
The key is planning on not having a multiple dead-weight contracts all at the same time, I think.
Just my view.
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