Add new comment

1

Here I wrote earlier today about the surplus of OF's and then look what Z does. 
Robinson=Real Deal.  Even if you discount some of his power numbers this year due to the Albuquerque effect (26 homers with only 9 doubles are the numbers of a plodding masher. 6 triples---and 22 in the last three years---shows that isn't the case, at all.  So lets say that some of those taters are elevation type jobs), Robinson can flat out play.  He hits .300 and he walks a ton, 104 at AA in '10, .083 in AAA this year.
He is clearly a CF so Z has shown his hand. Wells is a corner guy, Carp is a LF/DH and Guti will soon find the door.  If you assume, and it's clearly a easy assumption, that the M's field a Wells, Robinson, Ichiro OF next year and Carp has DH/LF role, then who is the other OF?   Bets?
There is no use sending Chiang to AA. He has clearly mastered that level.  He should move straight to Tacoma.  Saunders, Peguero , Pena make for (Wilson, sadly for me, will soon be gone) interesting stuff.  And then there's Halman.
We be loaded in the OF right now.
I will be VERY interested in seeing where Robinson goes. Do you send him to Tacoma just so he continues mashing the PCL?  Why?
But to bring him up, then you have to send Halman down....or DL Guti.
Z has shown his CF hand.  Two guys in two days whose best fit is CF.  Guti has lost the luster.
If you set your search parameters at max. 5 HR, .200-.250-.250 (and all of those are considerably better than Guti's numbers right now),  and look over the last 50 years you find exactly 7 OF's who have performed as badly as Guti over at least 200 PA's.  Nobody has been as bad over as many PA's since Bob Dernier did it in 1989.  Guti is simply really bad.  He's been really bad for two full seasons.  Bad stomach notwithstanding, he's showing no sign of being a MLB CFer.
I wouldn't be surprised if he gets sent down to Tacoma to find an offensive game.
Doc, What is the chance that none of these three OF guys pan out and ecome a fulltime valuable OF?  Incredibly low, correct?  Even if you assume that EACH is only a 1 in 3 shot (which is a WAY low assumption) you still get a 70% chance (Quickly doing the math in my head...correctly, I hope) that one is a real player.  If you give each a 50% shot then you're up to nearly a 90% chance.  And if each is a 2 in 3 guy, well then you're up over a 95% chance.
If each is a 2 in 3 guy, then you're nearly at 90% that TWO of them become fulltime whacking OF's.
Add an Ackley.  Add a Smoak.  Add a Carp.
We just got healthy....or will be soon.
Fister for Wells didn't excite me, until I added Beavan (Fister-lite, now in the rotation) to the formula.  But now, I'm very excited.
What do you think?  Is this better than the Lee trade? Smoak and Beavan (+) for Lee or this haul for Bedard.  I like this one at least as much.
Figure out who is playing 3rd (Figgins or Seager or Mangini or Franklin) and I bet you can name next years opening day lineup.
Ichiro
Robinson
Ackley
Smoak
Carp
Wells
Olivo
3B
Ryan
Felix chucking.
And a bunch of very excited SSI guys hanging on every pitch. 
Taking bets?
This is a good day (unless you're named Guti).
moe
 

Filtered HTML

  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd><p><br>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

shout_filter

  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.