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Allowing a 1-in-10 chance of stardom is a much different thing than writing a dude off as a 1-in-100 chance of being decent.  ;- )
My own estimates for Trayvon might be something like:
25% - Dynamic, minor-star CF or better
40% - At least holds his own with the bat (85+ index), good D in CF
35% - Washout
I'd expect that Trayvon is a comfortable favorite to get 2,500 AB's in the bigs, which is what John Sickels means by B/B+ prospect.
The 35% washout has gotta be in there, 'cause if you go back and look at ANY historical list of PCL blue chippers, you're going to find that many Dallas McPherson style washouts.
But I'm not going any higher than 35%, 'cause this kid doesn't have to hit much to play in the big leagues.  McPherson and Wood and Pickering did.
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As G-Money says, if Trayvon's K's weren't sky-high, he'd probably be a grade A, and if his K's weren't real high, he wouldn't be a Mariner right now.
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So assuming that you slide 10%, 15% from HI and MID down to LO, then we're not talking different languages, anyway.