Add new comment

Right, but an Ichiro type prospect is a very high percentile for success. The same as Edgar.
If we had Ichiro in the farm, I'd hype him higher than I hyped Ackley.
If we had an Edgar-type prospect in AAA right now, I'd say his chances of being an impact player at 3B are excellent but would admittedly blow off any chances of averaging 25 HRs over several years (a bit off-topic but not sure if Edgar was clean in his 30s).
No single career is predictable, but I'd rather play the percentages in this case. 
Why would Trayvon be an exception to the rule? Both Branyan and Wily Mo have lighttower power that allowed them to hang around and neither of them were even regulars most seasons. No one else in BAs top 100 over the past 20 years has managed success with a higher minor league K-rate than Trayvon.