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ghost's picture

It doesn't actually matter what the minor league BABIP is here.  I'm saying I don't think Catricala is going to remain X% better than his league as he moves up to the big league level.  I'm saying if you translate his .400 BABIP in minor league ball today to a .300 BABIP in the big leagues...he'll be a useless 95 OPS+ corner outfielder...a 4th outfielder at best.  Not that it's bad to have those guys in the system...just that I'm not really buying in on Catricala until I see better evidence that he has some identifiable skill for hitting above league BABIP.  Are his LD rates sky high?  If so...why?  Is he blazingly fast?  Perhaps above average speed, but not blazing speed...he's certainly not a power threat...some XBH, but not a ton of longballs to help BABIP...

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