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Statistical evidence of Wells' long-term ability to hit lies in the fact that he has had 3 MLB "cups of coffee," if you will:  Det, '10, Det. '11 and Sea. '11.
In each of those mini-seasons he has OPS'ed at least 113.  Even is you say that 20% of his Seattle '11 performance is luck based right now, well that still means he's a 143 OPS guy.  BTW, that is exactly the number he had in Det. last year.
I don't see a worst case than this, he could only be a .250-ish, .310-is, .450-ish 20-22ish HR CF.
That's not a bad low side. That equals an OPS that, two years ago, we all were hopeful Guti could sustain longterm.
And while he does't wallk much, I'll point out that his OBP, in Seattle, is 80 pts. above his BA.  Hey, he gets beaned.  I haven't noticed him crowing the plate...but perhaps the reason he can cover the outside black so well, remember your freeze frame from the other day, Doc, is that he does take his stance on the incide line of the box.  I'll have to look for that.
I sai at the time of the trade that he had to be an every-day player for the swap to make sense.  More and more, I see an every-day productive multi-tool player.
 

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