Just as a quick aside ... since this was written at the end of August and suggested Ichiro would hit .320 in September ... what was Ichiro's final month like?
.268/.303/.375 (.678)
Particularly alarming was the spike in Ks, (18) which was a monthly worst.
While the Tsunami may have been on Ichiro's mind, his best month was April, (.328/.380/.378 .758). That was the only month he posted an OPS above .700.
While a bounceback is not out of the question, there simply isn't a previous HoF leadoff hitter who matches up well with Ichiro.
Carew might be closest, but Rod walked a lot more frequently. But Carew took a major dive in production at age 35, (not 37/38). He actually took a second dive later and was 100 points below his career .822 OPS in both his age 38 and 39 seasons.
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As far as Ackley leading off ... I'll believe it when I see it. I would expect Guti or Figgins to get a shot at leadoff before Ackley. I like the idea that Ichiro 'might' be moved down in the order. But, Ichiro will show up in shape and ready to put 2011 in the rearview. I think the odds of starting the season anywhere but leadoff are slim and none. I think he gets six weeks (minimum) to convince the club one way or the other before they make that move.
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