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I'm not convinced he ever makes it to ST.
If he does it means they offered him arbitration instead of non-tendering him.
I'm not convinced he's worth $4.5 to $5 million when we have so many able bodies to fill his role next season, or another one of Z's reclamation projects off the scrap heap of FA's for $1 million or so.
That's just my opinion, but I think what's more likely if the M's do offer him arbitration is that he's traded soon after ala Jose Lopez.