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Good stuff man.
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Definitely agree that 3-year averages, even weighted, aren't at all precise.  For example, it's not like you're going to finish in the top 3 in a roto league by using 3-year weighted OPS to draft hitters.  ... you HAVE to be able to anticipate trends a lot better than that, or Taro will get all the Smoaks, Saunderses and Seagers :- )
The one big plus is that the weighted 3-year averages are totally objective - no tendency to say "well, I like Ackley to be a plus (young) defender" while overlooking possible negatives.
And TFB doesn't even weight the years, right?
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No quibbles at all with your overall sense of proportion.  Am sure we'd agree that there is upside at most positions you list, the potential for better play.  Smoak, a young 1B, is seen as neutral by many metrics.  Ackley was significantly + per UZR.  Ryan could feasibly be a GG shortstop. etc.
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Agree that Olivo shows as somewhat negatively in crude defensive stats, such as in framing pitches, but I wonder (a lot) whether Olivo isn't packing a -0.50 CERA factor... which, if true, would of course dwarf all of the other considerations put together ...