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Hope you can post often!  
High compliment that you offer with the "following data wherever it goes."  That's what we're tryin' to do, though our biases may be no weaker than anybody else's :- ) ... at least we admit that we have them...
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I am rivted by Vegas' take on probabilities, not because we want to push gambling on this site of course, but simply because of the light bulbs of knowledge that the oddsmakers bring to the table.  If you can help us with the numbers per se, without an emphasis on laying down the actual green, that would be a nice contribution to the discussion.
I'd have thought that Vegas would give you a re-set point on the W over/under... maybe like 74 wins for the M's now or somesuch ... lot of suckers see a 3-1 start and pile on the bandwagon...