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The idea that a lousy hitter might run a poor BABIP, that has some traction, within limits.
It still is not possible to project a .210 type of BABIP even for a lousy hitter. It is not possible to "deserve" less than a .600 BABIP on the 20% line drives, and that leaves you needing an .090 BABIP on everything else.
...........
Whether 38-year-old hitters are usually lousy or not, catch a game, man. Ichiro is blasting the ball. Today again, a 100-MPH line drive that was hit so hard that it held UP for the center fielder.
It's like I was reading the box scores and guaranteeing you that Brian McCann was done. Gotta watch him play, dude.