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A brief comparison.
Others can extend this to more managers, if you wish.
I wanted to do a Pythag check-up, to see if it had any real merit. Perhaps most managers underperform on that scale? A 21-4 win equals one win, but Pythag sees that as a couple of wins. You get the idea.
Wedge, from '03-'09, '11-'12: -5, -1, -3, -11, +5, -4, -8, Even, -3
You find a clear consistency. Minus one year, his teams generally underperform to some degree.
Earl Weaver, from '68-'82: -1, -1, +4, -2, -10, -5, +5, -5, +4, +9, +7, +4, +2, +7, +4
You find a clear consistency. Minus a cruddy '72 his teams generally overperform.
And '72 is an aberation year, because the O's gave up so few runs. They had a TEAM ERA of 2.53 (But it was a pitching rich environment. The league ERA was 3.06). They used 11 pitchers ALL YEAR! Bobby Leonard pitched 20 innings and had an ERA of 4.5. Beyond that, NO PITCHER had an ERA above the league average. Dave McNally had an ERA of 2.95, and was the closest.
That team threw 20 shutouts. My goodness. But they lost 10 games where they game up two or less runs. 5 1-2 games and 5 0-2 games.
Those factors may explain the Pythag numbers.
Anyway, Apples and Oranges, I know. Weaver is in the Hall and Wedge won't be. But there may be something to Pythag.
moe

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