Wedge managed the Indians from 2003-2009 and the Mariners in 2011 and 2012.
Tlaly 'em up, boys!
Year / Actual Wins / PythagenMatt Wins / Diff
2003 / 68 / 70 / -2 (something weird happened in September...they had a nearly-even run differential and went 7-18...the run differential was horribly misleading with several blowout wins and a bunch of closer losses)
2004 / 80 / 79 / +1 (one 22-0 game throws off their whole seasonal pythag by 3 games)
2005 / 93 / 95 / -2 (most of their blowouts were wins, which throws off their pythag, but so does their oddly poor one-run record...their bullpen was excellent, and managed well, but their starters seemed to get left in there too long)
2006 / 78 / 83 / -2 (HUGE difference between PMatt and PPat here...PPat says they should have won 89 but that's a mirage...their blowout games explained their entire run differential and their bullpen was LOUSY, blowing a ton of close games late)
2007 / 96 / 89 / +7 (small difference cutting further in Wedge's favor this time...their blowouts were in line with the rest of their season and not a factor, their bullpen was still pretty weak with Borowski their closer and two good set-up men but no depth...their one-run game performance was subpar for a 96 win team)
2008 / 81 / 77 / +4 (They had more blowout games going their way and more one-run games going against them than the seasonal numbers suggest should have happened...their bullpen by committee was disastrously bad, explaining the "blown quality start" problem Doc observed.
2009 / 65 / 72 / -7 (this time, PMat and PPat largely agree.
2011 / 67 / 67 / 0 (the Mariners were a well-behaved loser in 2011)
2012 / 28 / 29 / -1 (as noted, the Mariners this year are as bad as their record because their bullpen is shaky and their offense is streaky. Streaky offense + consistently mediocre pitching = better PPat performance that isn't a real indication of "skill".
Wedge's career differential: -2
In 8.4 seasons.
Wedge is not a spectacular manager by this metric...but he's not a poor one either.
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