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I mean, for one thing, it's ERA, which is not a good indicator of future performance in general. BABIP and HR/FB and sequencing and such. But even if it were CFIP, which I don't think anyone does, the sample sizes are just so tiny... so many variables. Who's the pitcher, who's the other team, are you in Safeco... especially over one season. I remember at some point recently people were calling Olivo a CERA hog; he was way better than anyone else on the staff... because he was getting all the Felix starts. Maybe in a season you get Olivo catching Felix versus the Angels in Safeco, and you get Montero catching Felix vs. the Angels in Safeco, and then you can kinda compare, but it's one game. Anything can happen (hello, Montero hitting two dingers off of Jered Weaver in Anaheim).
That said, Montero looks like he's improving at throwing out runners, he seems like he calls pretty good games, and his WP/PB total's no worse than Olivo's. He's not as bad as advertised by certain members of the M's blogosphere (koff Dave koff). I say let him catch until Zunino or whoever is ready, and then Montero can do the Napoli thing. What that means, though, is you better get your reps in at 1B now. Which is why I'm kinda disappointed to see Smoak back up. Might've preferred Liddi coming up to play some 3B so Seager can play 2B and Ackley at first most of the time, with Montero nabbing Ackley's days off.
Wedge says he's not ready, though. Sigh. Maybe next year. Poor Carp...