(1) Why do you chisel him back to 4 WAR at his peak, when his actual 3-year average was 5.8 WAR? You could as easily argue he was better than that, as that he was worse. What he WAS, was 5.8 per year.
(2) Have you never seen AGone historical profiles who had a down year or two around age 30, and rebounded to 30 WAR from ages 31-35? - Lou Whitaker, Rafael Palmeiro, Robin Yount, Mark McGwire, Tim Raines, etc etc etc? And it's not like AGone had an Adam Dunn or Mark McGwire disappearance here.
(3) Why is he being compared to Mark Teixeira?
(4) Why no consideration of the shift back to the NL?
(5) etc etc.
It's certainly possible that AGone will fade early. Our original article noted the comps of Morneau, Clark, etc. And very possible that the trade will backfire for LA, no doubts there. I'm sure that James is referring to opinions, like yours, that it is obvious that the trade will backfire on LA. It is no such thing.
Considering that AGone posts 1 WAR defensively, it's awfully tough to rule out his producing an overall 4 WAR in coming seasons.
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