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So, would you give up the unknown Ackley + Paxton production for 4 seasons/$44M of known Gordon, say 45 Doubles and 15 homers and 125 OPS.
I would. Not even close. Of course, the big question is whether you can actually get guaranteed performance from Gordon, or anybody else. Gordon's probably pretty close to a dang safe bet, however.
Essentially that trade (for the M's) is Paxton for Gordon, because a Franklin/Romero perfecta is just as likely (or more so) to produce a 110 OPS 2B as Ackley by himself is.
Of course, the same is true for subbing in Romero or Franklin for Ackley in that trade. Ackley looks lost all year. His ability to punish the LF gap disappeared, totally. He homered at a better rate than the year before but his other hard hit ball numbers (2B/3B) dropped dramatically.
Does a Guti, sweeten the deal? KC has a young CF in Wil Myers who ripped in AA and AAA last year. Don't know if he projects more to a COF, but he played a ton of CF last year. What would you get in extra-return?
I think the best M move, if we're going for a bat, is to find the guy most likely to give you 4 years of production and then make the swap (giving up talent) and not look back and worry about it.
Gordon is a pretty sure bet. If you could get him....
KC doesn't need a SS so Franklin's ability there may not have any impact.
BTW, is all the Gordon conjecture just that, or has there been some hint that he's on the table?