Doc, I think Guti's rep is still living on an '09 season with a 32.1 RngR. From '10-'12 it went 8.0, 8.8, -5.6. He was healthy in '10 and only played relatively healthy this year. Saunders' CF RngR was 1.8, 2.5, -2.4 over those same three years.
Guti's UZR 150 was 28.9 in '09, but only 6.0 in 10. It was 27.1 in '11 and -29.7 in '12...so obviously there are some problems with this metric. Saunders' numbers have been 14.5, 9.3 and -5.3 over the last three years.
Actually the eyeball factor may be fairly valuable here, too. Eyeballing Saunders, you certainly don't see a liability in CF.
I think, however....we will give the position to Guti to begin with. If we're going for an OF bat, we still have to come up with one of our own guys for the other slot. I think I would rather that other guy is a bat (or combo of bats) that has an upside that might explode. You win with stars and cheap guys who have career years. I would still rather we see what a Carp upside looks like, rather than Guti. Other options exist, too.
But it will be Guti.
moe
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