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bsf's picture

A) The park also affects the opponent. If we have the better offense (and especially more XBH), we will probably win more. Especially with Felix every 5th day.
B) The (otherwise mediocre) pitching will be helped by the park. If we're down by 1 in a Beavan start after 5 innings and bring in the bullpenners, we will win most of the games. Orioles 2012 strategy. Enough offense, lights out bullpen.
C) Come summer, Jaso would have been #25 #27 on the roster after a Zunino promotion, spelling him to 100-150 PA for the second half. Walking is nice, but it's only part of the equation.
The 85 win scenario mentioned before only counts until June. Then one or two of Cerberus will replace Beavan and Starter X, giving us one to two (or more?) extra WAR. And Zunino and Franklin could be up, upgrading Ryan and spelling Jaso to the bench role (and really taking away roster options, because then we'd have to carry three catchers and 5-6 1B/DH types).
The trade came half a year early, but the reasoning is the same as for the Upton trade that fell through. I expected Z to bring in one respectable hitter for 2013. He brought in two. On the expense of a platoon catcher (albeit a good one) and a subpar SP in a walk year. If we now get a bounce-back-year from the young core in a less pressure situation, this is an offensive monster, with really god pitching come June/July.

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