1. You seem to be arguing that since Kendrys' career OPS+ is 121 (wRC+ 117), it is therefore the default projection to peg him at that level going forward. What sense does that make? Kendrys' first three years in America he was terrible, in the 70's two of the three years. Since then he's been 120-140 ... while battling injury.
You going to use Yadier Molina's career wRC+ (101) to argue that he's a 101 hitter?
Argue what you want, but don't try to deny that Kendrys Morales can rake. Don't undersell THAT aspect of his game, in an effort to argue against his value. Stick to the points that have traction.
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2. Everything you said about our "ignoring" his non-batter's-box liabilities was also true one month ago, when USSM called it an easy decision to extend the QO. Morales is a hitter, end of story. That was good enough for USSM then.
Everything you bust our chops for ... "You can't just say he's a 126 OPS+ hitter and ignore his baserunning and defense" ... you could have busted them for, at that time. Any argument you apply to the above article, you could have applied to theirs, 30 days ago.
Did you? You got a comment up on that post?
Kendrys was ALWAYS going to be signed as a pure hitter. If you've changed your mind on him as a hitter, you don't get to suddenly start arguing that he should learn to play defense.
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3. The knee-jerk aspect of this is to be hypnotized by his hot streak earlier, and to bail on his hitting production now that it hasn't looked as sexy for two or three weeks.
We don't get to say "he's regressed" -- ducking our own analysis, and blaming him -- when he has done no such thing. He's gone through normal fluctuations. Anybody in the jury (other than LR and I): hold up your hand if you think Kendrys Morales' hitting ability has changed in the last 30 days.
Kendrys is the same man now that he was 30 days ago. Decisions like Zduriencik's need to rise above 30-day fluctuations in stats. That is the guts of the article above.
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Yes, you will be able to find more WAR for the $14M. That was true in July and it's true now.
$14M for a #5 hitter? Only if you can't find something better. If you cannot, then grab the 90 hard RBI on a piddling 1-year commitment.
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