I know even that is unprecedented. Anything under $15m annual still seems like a discount if you believe his mid range protection to be 30 HR and say .270/.360/.500. If his upper end even approaches the "best hitter in the world" some say is possible, isn't that worth closer to $30m annually? I really don't think bust is a very strong possibility from videos I've watched and things I've read. I'm not finding much for projections, but 4 straight years of .140-.150 points of BB are difficult to downgrade too much. My guess at the mid range stat line may be off, but that's why I went with .90 of BB. The Ryan Howard comp would be pretty close to that stat line career. The only projections I've found are actually higher than that anyway.