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Plawsable - that study does a great job of highlighting that there are multiple different TYPES of MLB successes and that K rate is the most important thing to notice. But I don't think it says that BB% isn't important to consider. It says that players with many different BB% can be successful. But What is DJ's hitter template? Does this study isolate the guys in his specific template and look at BB% *then*...no it does not.
We have isolated his template as "modest power - higher-than-normal K rate - good contact (for normal or slightly better BABIP)"...unless his skills actually change from here, his template cannot produce a very high OBP, which forces him to live by his pop...which we are all admitting is modest.
I don't think he's going to "burn out"...but I don't think he's going to be a star either. Just because he's our best hitting prospect...doesn't mean he's a GOOD hitting prospect. We don't really have any good hitting prospects right now (if by good, we mean having a good chance to be MLB minor stars or better) that are any higher than A ball.