11-11, Hitters part 2

=== Eric Brynes ===

Rox announcer sez that the M's "won the lotto" on this guy.  $11m ballplayer, just dinged up a little, now we got us a star for the minimum wage.

Brynes swung horribly through RH fastballs all game long, but still, we get what the guy meant.  As a #4 outfielder, he reminds you a little bit of the days when the LA Lakers used to bring Bob McAdoo and Steve Mix off the bench to make fun of your own second shift...

.498 SLG lifetime against LH pitchers.  But don't let that fool you:  Byrnes is, at his core, a leadoff hitter.  I'd have him hitting 9th when he's in there.

Fast starter:  .805 OPS first half, .701 second half, that being in a thousand games.  I'll take some power chords on the first road trip and a shredded homestand to follow.

.

=== Adam Moore ===

Just missed a 350-foot homer a few feet foul -- down the RIGHT field line.  Chew on that, Jose. 

Moore hadn't decided to swing until the ball was on top of him -- then took the ball out of the catcher's mitt with zero CG involvement whatsoever.  Just unsnapped the barrel chest and simian upper arms and the ball whistled over the RF fence.

It ain't gonna be this year, but one of these years the kid is going to just start swatting pitches over the fence like Bench.  Going to be quite a bidding war for this hombre after year six.

.

=== Matt Tuiasosopo ===

Shawn Kelley telegraphed a change, and Miguel Olivo (.490 SLG last year from the catcher position, Grover) split the LF and CF with a 1-wood to the fence, 380 feet away.

I counted 17 strides that Tui took while the ball was in flight.  On a low arc.

Awkward little two-step adjustment horizontally at the end -- the right adjustment to have to make, if you're not taking a Franklin Gutierrez route -- but caught the ball easily against his chest. 

The announcers, impressed, jumped right in about Tui's athleticism.  My mon Griff would tell you he needs a minute and a half to take 17 strides.  It takes me around three minutes, and that's only when my wife is chasing me with a paintball gun.

..................

Ryan Langerhans is the 5th benchie -- so you have 2 OF's and only 1 IF along with Sweeney and Johnson -- and yet here's the IF still playing in left.

Hopefully this means that when org darling Hannahan is back, Langerhans goes out and not Tuiasosopo.

.

=== M's Offense ===

David Pinto's article on the M's -- predicting +154 runs -- has gained a lot of traction. 

M' mon Geoff Baker, for instance, deftly Peyton Manning'ed back into the pocket yesterday about the offense.  Now no longer sure that the M's offense will chop-block them, nor that the M's are longshots in the division.

True that the M's didn't jump at the sexy adds, but also true that they powerflushed the 98-lb. weaklings in the offense -- and put bats on their bench.

Adding 100 or more runs is theoretically quite possible sez SSI.  Friday's 11 runs against Colorado was a picture worth a thousand blog posts.

............

We remember a Gary Larson Far Side cartoon in which swimmers bail out of the water onto the beach .... two sharks side by side look up at their fins out of the water.  "How long has THAT been there?!"

I wonder how long analysts have been trying to guess offensive deltas by looking at the top 3 hitters, rather than at the bottom 3.

Cheers,

Dr D




Comments

1
moe's picture

I like this team, I think.  It promises to be able to win 3-2 ball games...AND...8-7 ball games.  That's some difference over last year.
I'm now of the belief that the hinges that this season swings on are:
1.  The Felix and Lee and pray for rain idea.  Anything close to recent normality from those two guys and we have the best 1-2 in baseball.  Barring injury, the upside between these two guys is something like 37 or 38 wins and 12 to 14 losses.  Man, your 2 dozen games over 500 right there.
2.  Injury, injury, injury. (DUH!!) This is always the case, I suppose, for teams expected to contend. But if the two big cats at the top of the order stay healthy, along with Ichiro, Guti, and Figgins.  We can afford a tweak and tear elsewhere.
3.  Finding a hot closer.  We have enough arms at the back ofthe bullpen that somebody should do this well.  And I like all the mid-game arms we can bring at you.  Tex is vicious!
  4.  The next smokin' bat.  Ichiro, Guti, Figgins and Lopez will all produce.. One or two more bats makes this a VERY potent offense.  Tui?  He may be it.  Sweeney?  For the last 8 months he's hit nothing but frozen ropes all over the place.  hot damn...he even legged out a triple!  Bradley?  History says he will get on base and wear out pitchers.  My heart says the first time he deals with White Sox or Yankees fans after going 0 for his last 9 and some newspaper reporter asks him a seemingly reasonable question that it might be time to hide the Gatorade jugs and water despensers.  Junior?  He will never really be Junior again...but as a situational hitter who can punish you...well, look at last year and consider he seems to be in beter shape and more health this year.  I consider it even money (or better) that we get a VERY productive 400-500 AB's out of two of those guys.  That would be HUGE!
5. Against all hope...I'm hoping for a solid mental state from Bradley all year.  I'm now pushing back the over-under on the first Bradley meltdown from mid-May to early June.  I'm beginning to trust the Jr-Sweeney-Ichiro babysitting service on this one.  At least for a bit.  A reminder...Problem children remain problem children.
And if I might beat the Tui drum again.  What we've seen this spring is a SIX position outside linebacker.  I think that speaks to the athleticism of the guy.  Tui is listed at 225 right now.  That's more than Ed Kranepool (for you 50+ guys) weighed!  That only  5 lbs less than Boog Powell (bball-reference)!!! That's more than Willie Stargell!!!   Minus the left handedness of a couple of those guys...can you imagine them capable of playing SSor 2B?  When Hannahan becomes available...Langerhans will have pulled a muscle or tweaked a toe-nail.  Bet on it.  The best school for Tui right now is in the classroom with Jr. and Sweeney and Ichiro.  He's about to be a B/B+student....and then the honor role from there.  Tacoma offers him nothing. 
Early odds.  50/50 he's a fulltime starter next year.140 games plus.  .290 and 25 plus.
LF, 3B, 1B.....Place your bets.
Happy Easter.
Keith
 

2
moe's picture

your=You're
despensers=dispensers
beter=better
Did I miss any?  My wife says that all men are idiots and I am their king!  Now you know why!

3
OBF's picture

And if I might beat the Tui drum again.  What we've seen this spring is a SIX position outside linebacker.

 
What a GREAT description of TUI!  Love it!  The one other thing I have noticed about Tui over the last few years though is his progression from looking like a football player tolooking like a baseball player.  Physically you are correct the dude is built like a NFL Linebacker, but his movements are no longer football movements.  THAT is the biggest hurdle for the Athletic/Toolsy prospect to overcome, learning how to play baseball, not just look good running a sprint or putting up 225 for the 40th time in a row on the bench.
How nice is it to finally see one of the bazillion toolsy, no baseball IQ/experience prospects we've drafted in the last 10 years actually learninghow to play baseball!

5

Six position OLB.  Heh!
Wasn't Tui playing CENTER field the last few innings of that Giants game?  With Byrnes in LF?
Hate to tell you, but the average Pac-10 OLB could probably take down a lot of ML center fielders in a 40 dash...

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