Cookin' Up Fresh Pasta
Gotta get something to stick sooner or later...

So a few moves on the RP front for the home-towners.  Juan Nicasio is $17mil richer; Shawn Armstrong exists, and will attempt to K the world for the M's (without simultaneously walking it); and Anthony Misiewicz gets a homecoming!

In addition to the aforementioned $17mil headed to Nicasio's offshore account, a grand total of $1.5mil in int'l bonus pool allotments are headed out to bring Armstrong and Misiewicz back.  Gotta say I'm a little underwhelmed, but as someone (Gordon?) astutely mentioned recently, it's not as though the M's have had ANY success in the int'l FA market since Felix (with something like $20mil spent along the way?!).

So what is Nicasio?  Honestly, you've got me.  He looks like a power pitcher, whose fastball averaged 95.4 last season out of the 'pen, after averaging 93.6 in 2016 for the Pirates.  Somewhat interestingly: last season is the first time in his career that he didn't make at least one start.  I dunno what can be said about him?  He appears to have either A) leapt a plateau by challenging with the gas, trusting his stuff, and not chasing whiffs (his K/9 decreased a couple notches, but so too did his BB's), or B) been 'lucky' in the sense that he's unlikely to repeat his 2017 success in the next couple years.

MLB relievers are tricky.  If they don't have OVERPOWERING stuff, it's almost impossible to bank on their performances being above-average year-in, year-out.  Guys like Eddie Guardado come to mind as relievers with underwhelming, 'white knuckle' (shamelessly stolen from Doc) stuff who somehow manage to defy the odds for a string of 3-5 years before (some would say 'predicatably') imploding.  (On the subject of Guardado, he and Shigetoshi Hasegawa are the *only* relievers I can remember who could consistently attack the outside corner at the knees with truly underwhelming *stuff* and somehow make it work game-in, game-out without getting flensed for their troubles).

Then you've got Armstrong and Misiewicz, who probably deserve more than a shrug and a sigh from someone pretending to write intelligently about baseball, but that's all I can offer.  Misiewicz is funny because Dipoto just shipped him out mid-season, only to re-acquire him with the same int'l pool allotment that he received for Vieira.  I won't hold my breath waiting for someone to jump up and proudly declare they prefer Misiewicz to Vieira, talent-wise or fit-wise for the current club, but at least Misiewicz could (theoretically) start.  That's worth something at least, but to my (untrained and wholly-without-merit) eye he looks like mid-minors spaghetti.

Armstrong, on the other hand, has at least some experience at the big league level to go with his 93+ mph fastball.  But honestly, I don't know how to read pitch values or any of that newfangled stuff, so I'll have to leave it to someone else to do so if they're so inclined.  Personally, and again I'm sure this comes off as disrespectful to some degree, I just don't see anything jump off the page.

Even Nicasio, the 'impact reliever' Dipoto was talking about prior to acquiring, looks every bit as likely to 'regress' in the upcoming season as he is to build on the success of his 2017 campaign going forward.  Still, you need arms and lots of them (unless your pen is stacked, which Seattle's decidedly isn't--it's got some really talented contributors, to be sure, but it's far from a lockdown unit).

Would welcome discussion about these guys if anyone's got insights on them.

Comments

1

M’s select Yankees’ AAA 1B Mike Ford, LHB, recently named Yankees’ Prospect Batter of the year.   https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=ford--000mik&utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-

In 597 AA PA’s, he’s hit 18 homers, .274-.412-.452 w/110 BB and 81 K’s.

In 115 AAA PA’s, he hit 7 HR, .266-.383-.543 w/ 18 BB and 16 K.

He’s a 1B (or DH) or bust guy, so he brings some pop, an eye and zero positional flexibility.

Truthfully, this move seems odd.  He collides directly with Healy and Cruz, and indirectly with Vogs.  Being a Rule 5 guy, we can’t stuff him in Tacoma, either.  DiPoto has either hinted at, or flat out said, that we will run a 13 man staff.  If true, that means we only get to keep 12 Bat/glove combos.  It makes no sense to have 3 of them ((essentially) 1B/DD only guys.  Sure, Healy can play 3B, but how many games does Seager miss?

So I am looking at the Ford get as a precursor to a trade, where an arm comes our way.  Either Ford or Healy (or Cruz, in a long shot) goes In some sort of deal.

Here’s a AA tater from last year.  Short stroke, Griffey-esque follow througH.  

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=268iEHo9OQw

There’s something to like here, but I have no clue where he fits In ‘18.  If you could AAA him for a year, you you would have something nice, but I can’t imagine he slips by everybody if the Yankees don’t want him back.

2

I see you posted before me, Moe. Point to you. ;) Ford's fine, but also duplicates 'Bach and Healy. Healy's a righty, 'Bach and Ford are lefties, so I can't see both Vogelbach and Ford getting 40-man slots to do exactly the same thing.  I can't see trading Healy since they need someone to give Seager some days off, so I'm with you: I would expect another pen arm or the like for Bach.

I'm not sold on his power, as I said in my original post, but I'm not sold on Vogelbach's either.  Since the Ms don't seem to like Vogelbach I'm assuming this is another draw at the same deck as they move on from Dan. It's gonna be a weird fit though.  There's nothing the Ms like more than adding a bunch of players to do the same thing and then forcing themselves to choose the least-bad option.

3

Mariners Rule 5 pick Mike Ford hit .270 with 20 HRs and 86 RBIs in AA and AAA in Yankees organization. He’s a 25-year old LH hitting first baseman.

--------------------------

LH 1B and DH Mike Ford went to Princeton and was not drafted, but he's done all right for himself so far.  He walks more than he strikes out as a 6-foot-nothing first baseman, and finally found some power last year after spending most of his career without it (career .151 ISO).  He's basically Vogelbach: not a doubles machine, not really a HR hitter, power to RF if he catches one, not a quick bat.  He's stocky and slow, though not the barrel that 'Bach is.  Apparently he has good hands and instincts at 1B which is a good thing, and the thing that Vogelbach doesn't necessarily have.

With the juiced balls recently, though, I don't count on sudden displays of power increases to stick around past whenever the balls become unjuiced.  Maybe the baseballs are the new normal, but if they're not then Ford does not have and probably will never have real 1B power.  If he can hit and walk, though, especially with Gar helping his all-fields approach, that could be all right.  

The Mariners also took a pair of catchers, Joe Odom and Tyler Baker, in the minor league Rule 5.  That doesn't mean anything other than they didn't like their catching depth, I assume.

More spaghetti for the pile.

5

The more I watch Ford, the more I like his short-to-the-ball stroke.  He doesn't have Boomstick bat speed, but he's quick enough to succeed and his picky eye means that the's swinging at pitches he can handle.

And I can't see at least one rebuilding team, Miami, for example, not picking him up if we waive him. 

Healy (who was a good addition) hits RHP to a .760 tune (.877 vL).  In '16, with PA's split between AA/AAA he hit .326-.382-.558, with 14 HR's in 374 PA's.  In a '17 AA/AAA split Ford was .270-.404-.471 in 532 PAs.  Oh, 20 HR's.

I just don't see where he fits in with us, minus a trade somewhere.

6

Ford feels like another draw at the DJ Peterson deck. Interesting background: undrafted, was a solid pitcher as well as a hitter. Hit a game winning GS and got the save in the same game.

7

There's nothing wrong with that; a functional DJ Peterson at first for basically free would be a great help.  I'm hopeful that Ford can show out in the way Haniger has and give us some younger lineup staples to help build around as the current staples age. Evan White is also on his way, so if Ford or Healy or Vogelbach is not the answer, perhaps White will be - assuming he isn't traded for a bullpen arm with a bum shoulder or anything.

The Mariners HAVE to find these pieces, and first base has been a frustration for a number of years now.  The problem with Ford is that he has to be good out of the gate.  He has to have Seager's age 24 year, not Ackley's. I'd love for him to be the Matt Carpenter type bat we've been wanting since Matt Carpenter was in the minors and several of us wanted to trade for him.  Let us get lucky on this one, yeah baseball gods?

9

Combine a smoking Ford ST with a pulled Healy hammy and then he's a keeper out of the gate.

But to keep Ford, Healy and Cruz....then we must keep only 12 pitchers up.  I suppose that could happen in May, as you get all those days off.

Zunino, Marjama

Seager

Segura

Cano

Healy/Ford

Cruz

Gamel/Gordon/Haniger

Romine

Equals 12 guys...if you keep 12 pitchers, then you could add Heredia or another flexible IF/OF guy (which is my preference) and be at 13.

But if we only keep 12 bat/gloves, then yu can't keep the two 1B guys and you really should keep two guys on the bench that are multipositional.

10

...Astros get Joe Smith and Hector Rondon.

Yep.

Oh, also, the Yankees may be close to acquire Gerrit Cole to finish out their rotation and the Angels also picked up Kendrick to fill 2B and are close on another mystery player to fill 3B.

But don't worry, we got some Rule V guy.

Yep.

11

I don't imagine many are thinking differently.  Overall it's not been much progress for all the movement.

Get that #2 starter, another 7th-8th inning guy and a backup catcher and it looks much better.  But that's almost the entire list from the end of the season.  Vieira going out almost makes the Nicasio addition in tandem lateral overall.  So Dyson was replaced and we're wondering about Zduriencik qty. of DH/1b again.  At least El Bach has an option remaining.

How many shoes does Dipoto wear?  Waiting for more and more to drop...

13

But hey, Kevin Mathers got a promotion to CEO. To steal the title of a movie, "That's Entertainment!" Come, watch the suits forge careers and get promoted while the team misses the playoffs for a whole generation! Pretty soon they'll start showing corporate spreadsheets and org charts on the big screen at Safeco, 'cause that's all that's really goin' on.

14

And the Halos just added Zack Cozart as well. So this offseason they've signed: Justin Upton, Ohtani, Zack Cozart, Ian Kinsler. That's a pretty impressive run.

15

DiPoto has already acknowledged capitulation to the Astros. Perhaps he should consider doing so with regard to the Halos.

17

...is now looking considerably less anemic. :(

2B) Kinsler
RF) Calhoun
CF) Trout
LF) Upton
3B) Cozart
DH) Pujols/Ohtani
SS) Simmons
1B) Cron/Pujols
C) Maldonado

That's...pretty darned good.

I like our line-up better, depending on how much of Cron's ABs Ohtani steals, but it's a lot closer. :(

18

His peripherals have improved, and he just had his first-ever above-average year at the plate, but his glove is good-to-great and he's coming off a career year at 32 years of age.

Moving to 3B makes it a little harder to produce value the way he traditionally has (with his glove, while being a passable bat from the MIF), but at ~$13mil/year it's hard not to like the deal even if all it does is provide them with a ~league average player roving the IF as a utility guy.

Good signing.  And yeah, that lineup looks a lot less pathetic.

19

Cozart is interesting in that over the last three years he has actually be a better hitter on the road than at home.  That says something when you play in Cincy.

I suppose we can figure on him being aboit a 100 OPS Bat, maybe  a bit more, maybe not, next year.  He’s not going nuts like he did last year.  And his glove is less valueable at 3B than at SS.  But he's still a good get.

More and more, I'm drooling over adding Derek Dietrich, if we could pull it off a swap with Miami.  He's a Zobrist type and he could be your super sub at 2B, 3B, 1B and OF.  Essentially he's a 6 position back-up guy.  You just move Haniger or Gamel into CF when you sit Gordon.  A Dietrich and a Romine make it very possible that you can run an 8-man bullpen.  A guy like that would get 100+ starts in a season.  https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/dietrde01.shtml?utm_campaig...

20

10 games (6 starts) at 1B last year; 10 games (6 starts) at 2B last year, 5 games (2 starts) in the OF and 103 games (93 starts) at 3B.  And with wRC+'s of 119 in 2016 and 99 in 2017, hard not to drool over a super-McLemore (more bat, no speed) roving the park and ready to plug into a position semi-permanently should the need arise.

Still, gonna have to do more than add a super-subber if we want to compete with the Astros and ::gulp:: the Angels.

21

I think Cozart went nuts because the ball is juiced. If the ball is still juiced, people with marginal but non-light power who are line drive/gap hitters will benefit more than every other class, including the premiere sluggers. I think that's why Marwin Gonzalez went from nice little supersub to superstar, for example.

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