M's 5, A's 3: Casey At the Bat

=== vs Sheets & Co. ===

Congrats to mighty Case, who put Tout Wars Round One decisively in the M's ledger.  Kotchman attacked the ball aggressively all night, and was visibly "on" fastballs and curve balls without getting caught in between.

A roped double deep into the gap, a game-winning RBI, four ribbies total ... and he'd have had three hits (with the game-winning run scored) if the umps hadn't jobbed him on the single in the 8th.

If you look at Sheets' first matchup with Kotchman, you'll see five pitches everywhere other than the lower-in quadrant that is Kotchman's bane.  Next three AB's, same story:  21 pitches on the evening, not a single one of which was anywhere near the 25% of the zone that is Kotchman's Achilles heel.  (Well, okay:  two jam pitches on the hands, and one knee-high, centered FB.  The other 18 were "nowhere near" the death quadrant.)

This is a good sign.  It's difficult even for ML pitchers to hit an area eight inches square.

.

=== Stick That in Your Blog & Smoke It, Doc ===

Word is that Kotch went to Wakamatsu and argued for the 3 slot.  Gotta love that in a hitter.  On that backdrop -- Wok scrutinizing Kotchman's pre-game bravado -- Kotchman delivered the following.  Check me out, I'm bad, no brag, just fact:

  • Double that served notice on the Oakland-Ben-Sheets-A's in the very first inning.  1-0 lead shoulda stood up through nine
  • Man on 3B, 1 out, deliberately stroked FB to LF for a sac fly
  • K
  • Soft line-drive for a money hit late in the game ... blown call, though
  • Bases loaded!, 2 out!, 3-2 pitch!, 96 fastball! from super-closer! lined right back up the middle for the victory

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=== Egos and Ids Dept. ===

Kotchman was on the postgame TV, and instanter we saw Sandy's point about Kotchman's lack of self-confidence.  Just then it hit us:  Sandy saw Kotchman play in Atlanta...

Never saw such acute anxiety out of a 5-year ML vet like that.  Hey, that's okay:  Ty Cobb would have interviewed the same way.  But it does underline that, perhaps, a psych job has room for opportunity there...

..................

Dr. D isn't holding his breath.  :- )  The first LH curve ball he saw, fanned him horribly.  And the pitchers haven't yet gone into his low-in zone. 

Not saying I'm converted.  I am not.  Just acknowledging that, for one night, this was the rawhide-tough RBI man the M's envisioned.  :golfclap:

Supposing that Kotchman were to drive in 110 runs behind Ichiro and Figgins' relay race, the AL West would be in some serious twubble.

Cheers,

Jeff

Comments

2

It was one game where Kotch looked good...and the reason he looked good was because he was facing two high-ball flyball pitchers.  If you platoon Kotch against high ball pitchers and use Sweeney or Carp or someone else against groundball guys...I bet Kotch could OPS .770
Don't believe me...check B-Ref's splits:
.762 vs. flyball pitchers / .771 vs. neutral pitchers / .662 vs. groundball pitchers
I hope I've made my point. :)

3

And illustrates that platooning doesn't have to be as simple as LH/RH.
You can go GB/FB, turf/grass, actually anything that gives you a pitcher/batter matchup you like that day.
Wonder what Sweeney's FB/GB splits are ...

4

Sweeney's splits from 2006-2009:
Flyball: .731
Neutral: .705
Groundball: .841
But this may be misleading...2009 was WEIRD...he had HUGE numbers against both groundballers and flyballers alike and was terrible against neutral pitchers...'06 and '07 he was better agianst groundball pitchers and worse against flyball pitchers.
If you look at his whole career...he has essentially no grounball/flyball split at all...I avoided that because he's not the same hitter he was in 1997.

5
Taro's picture

In general we over-react to early results.
Kotchman's OPS yesterday was 1.150. After today its .597.
The results for the first few weeks probably aren't going to mean much, much less the results after a couple days. I can't remember how times Ichiro was "figured out" in April, or how many Everetts or Endys had a hot first 3 weeks.

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