Q. Great time to be an M's fan :- / you mean like Smoak and Ackley?
A. Look, if you wanted to Start Your Franchise with any kind of player you could draw up on the chalkboard -- Longoria, or Lincecum, or Mauer, or Strasburg, if you became a GM and wanted a young franchise player, here is what you would pick:
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1. You would definitely pick a hitter over a pitcher. First-round hitters provide much, much more return than first-round pitchers. The M's are very fortunate that their savior is slated to be Dustin Ackley, as opposed to being Brandon Morrow or somebody.
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2. You would pick a college player over a high-school player. In part because the college player has passed many of the screenings that the HS player hasn't. (Exceptions apply for the Uptons and ARods of the world.)
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3. You would take a top-5 draft pick over a #24 overall. With Dustin Ackley, you are not talking about a #16 draft pick. You are talking about a #1 overall!, a guy who was taken #2 only because Stephen Strasburg happened to be in his draft.
Take Strasburg out of that draft and at least 20-25 MLB teams would have taken Ackley with the #1.
The same is essentially true of Justin Smoak, drafted #11 overall only because of signability concerns. In terms of value, he matched Ackley, but with power into the bargain.
The Mariners have not one, but two different young ML-ready hitters who were #1-overall level pedigrees.
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4. You would take a hitter with a great EYE over one who struck out a lot. With Justin Smoak, you're talking about a premium EYE. With Dustin Ackley, you're talking about a Wade Boggs EYE.
Shandlerites, when betting on young players, begin and end with K/BB ratio. There is just no overstating what Ackley's and Smoak's EYE's do for their chances.
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5. You would take a left hand hitter over a right hand hitter. Given your druthers. This isn't a huge factor, but it is a real one.
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6. You would take a player who was a fit for your park. Which is why Capt Jack, probably wisely, passed on a superior hitter (Montero) and bet the pass line on a player whose fly balls are going to clear the fence in his home park.
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7. You would start your franchise with players who were good actors. Delmon Young types have value, but not as the leader of your franchise. Both Ackley and Smoak are down-to-earth guys who will lead in work ethic as well as on the scoreboard.
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