I'm suddenly a lot higher on Saunders after hearing how they reworked his swing.
Listening to Eliot talk about the areas Saunders' could improve in his vertical/horizontal swing made me even more optimistic that they'll eventually get him figured out.
Saunders always had the athleticism, he has the patience, he has the D in the OF, his issues were just more mechanical at the plate.
Note well that any given ballplayer might Sizzle three times and Fizzle four, before the spring is over. We're just day-trading here.
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=== SIZZLER: Eric Byrnes ===
I/O: Baker reports that Byrnes looks peppy on the field -- diving after one gapper, starting the Cactus League in CF for the M's, stealing 3B, popping up and continuing on home after a groundball gets through, that kind of thing.
The legs look good, we hear, and that's a good thing - because - Byrnes will make the team, if at all, based on gusto, energy, spark, and ... running fast.
Therefore Byrnes wants to show the Mariners, early, that it's the Good Byrnes they're getting for 2010.
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CRUNCH: Field level looks different from the View Level, much less from behind the monitor. It's good to hear that Byrnes is starting off with the RPM's at redline.
SSI is not impressed. It's not Byrnes' desire we question. It's whether the tendons will snap under heavy workload. If the training methods were suspect in earlier years, that's a high risk.
........
Which isn't to say Byrnes isn't the club's best 4th OF, other than maybe Saunders. He is. But his running hard in ST is to be expected.
Granted, he's got a lot to prove, and one of Jason's NL scouts bet the M's in the AL West precisely because of this point: Zduriencik has stacked the M's with hungry playas. Growf.
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=== FIZZLER: Michael Saunders ===
I/O: Geoffy opines that Saunders is a goner, as good as Cheney'ed already.
The logic? If the M's were thinking in terms of Saunders as a 4th outfielder this winter, then they wouldn't have spent so much time stuffing the roster -- bringing Langerhans back, going out and getting Eric Byrnes, Corey Patterson, etc.
Baker isn't offering a syllogism for a Philosophy 101 grade. He's offering an intriguing field-level view, that if Saunders were in the plans, there wouldn't be such scrambling of the jets for MLB(TM) role players.
He does allow that Saunders looks good at the plate, continuing Saunders' momentum out of winter ball, where he was by far the M's best hitter (including Lopez and others).
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CRUNCH: This is a point that weighs heavily. It does seem as though the Mariners could have played the winter differently, if Bradley were the #3 OF and if Saunders were the #3B/#4 outfielder for 2010.
Which doesn't mean that the competition is over. It may mean that the job is Byrnes' to lose.
Even if that's the case, let's say that Saunders -- after the swing rebuild and the great winter -- goes to AAA. What next? Saunders rakes AAA, and as soon as any of these things happen:
- Bradley gets hurt
- Byrnes gets hurt or flails away in Safeco
- Saunders hits for a force-yer-hand slash line at Tacoma
Then Saunders is right on up to Safeco. No harm no foul.
...........
Neither Geoffy nor I are burying Saunders. :- ) In this camp, much will be decided based on competition. But it could be the case that Saunders goes into camp as Plan B to Byrnes' Plan A.
Cheers,
Dr D
Comments
Absolutely. All of the winter moves were premised on Saunders NOT being awarded an MLB spot. I actually think the long-term signs are all positive for Saunders, though.
The word was that in winter ball he was "finally hitting like a 6-4, 210 guy should be" (paraphrasing) -- I assume they will consolidate that momentum in full-time play in Tacoma rather than part-time MLB.
Long-term: Ackley in the infield facilitates Ackley and Saunders playing together much more easily than Ackley and Triunfel playing together.
As you'd agree, 90% of the time this "reworked swing / motion" is just noise, but in Saunders' case I don't think so.
Always thought Saunders would wind up with 3,000 - 4,000 AB's in the bigs -- since his first week up -- but now we get to reconsider the possibility of his being a good ML player.
Sometimes it seems like EVERYthing you say makes sense. One of these times I'm going to c-point you if you ever say anything stupid.