Good call, Doc - I was looking at the same thing.
Personally i think it's just a kid batting in the heart of the order trying to make a good impression by hitting a 5-run homerun.
I agree, though, when he settles down and watches the ball make contact with the bat it'll go better for him. Golfers and batters can do well on occasion by pulling vision away before contact, but consistency isn't gonna be there.
I'm gonna wait for him to settle down from his first Opening Day jitters before we see if it's chronic, though. Hard to calm down and do everything right on the biggest night of your life. Once he starts playing like he's been there before things should be smoother and he can reach more of his potential.
~G
=== Keep Your EYES On It, Kid ===
Problemo is this: he's pulling his head off the ball early, in his greedy attempts to hit home runs.
Here the term "greed" isn't an insult, but a sports-psychology observation. It appears to be much more contained from the right side. But from the left side, the greed is noxious.
.......
If you care to, you can watch for it yourself the rest of the series.
On the righty double Opening Day, his head was RIGHT DOWN ON THE BAT -- as the ball made contact with it. Remember Ted Williams being able to tell where on the baseball he hit it with a tarred bat?
... but earlier? on the lefty whiff with the bases loaded and the M's down 2-1?, his eyes pulled up to watch the 450-footer, and he almost hurt himself overswinging into a strike three (to end the inning and kill the rally IIRC). Real weird followthrough.
This when a single was the ballgame, with Felix on the mound. There were two runners in scoring position, the M's were down one, and a scratch hit put Felix in the lead. Here's Smoak going for the upper deck with two strikes.
........
It wasn't isolated. Smoak was usually pulling his head off from the left side. The reason a batter does this, is to admire the home run. (Smoak had plenty of time to admire his RH double, of course, after keeping his head down.)
There were times when Smoak followed the pitch into the catcher's mitt from the left side. But when he pulled the trigger, he pulled his head, and his eyes came off way early.
Don't care who you are. You can't stop watching the pitch during the swing. Teddy ".500 OBP" Ballgame His Ownself wouldn't hit if he blinked during a pitch.
..........
Smoak won't hit like he can until he calms down from the left side. He will, and he can. Calm down, and rake, as in. Let's hope sooner rather than later.
KEEP YOUR HEAD DOWN, KID.
And take a few the other way until you're going good. It's like a 3-iron off the first tee. Plenty of time for the driver on holes 3-18, er, May-September, that is.
.
=== Greed For Success ===
Bruce Lee said, "This is not about winning. It is about perfection."
To Americans it sounds funny, but in Japan it is first principles. In an aikido dojo, they will talk about "greed for success," which causes you to rush, which causes you to tense up, which causes you to focus on the wrong things.
An aiki shihan will talk constantly to beginners about relaxing, about forgetting whether they get the pin or not, about being less "attached" to victory, as the Buddhists say. Attachment produces negative emotions and poor state-of-mind.
And what is the difference between Ian Snell and Doug Fister, but state-of-mind?
.......
It is not a condemnation of a person's character. All athletes find themselves doing this. ... when I play ping-pong, there are times I overplay and go for a winner when the ball is not up...
There is precisely one fix when you are in Justin Smoak's frame of mind. That is to truly and sincerely take pleasure in the process, in the technique, in doing things correctly -- as opposed to dwelling on the end outcome.
This takes a lot of mental effort. It would be nice if Smoak were willing to talk to Ichiro about this point.
You see in the picture, the sensei's fingertips?
.......
Failing a direct approach, "take the ball the other way" is an indirect route to the same thing, a time-honored way. Ted Williams told Carl Yasztremski to take the ball up the middle when he was in a slump. Would you agree that this (automatically) fixes "greed"?
.......
There is not a thing wrong with Justin Smoak's swing. Nor his talent. Nor his pitch recog.
He's just taking his eye off the ball early, from the left side. That will happen when you swing out of your shoes.
.
Cheerio,
Dr D
Comments
Smoak is really going to be the guy who makes or breaks the offense this year. Ichiro and Figgins are veterans with a well established level of performance. You know C/MI/CF are defense first players. Cust/Bradley are somewhat wild cards, but you can make a pretty good estimate at what kind of production you're getting.
Smoak OTOH could be one of the worst everyday players at his position, eating away 550 *first base* AB's with a .700 OPS. Or, he could break through as the .900 OPS big bat that turns a below average offense into one of the top run producers.
Personally, I'm expecting the .700 OPS to be much more likely. Not sure I'd be able to use a roster spot on him in the 12-team, AL-only league even if he was in the free agent pool. However, you can't deny the potential and the M's are definitely creating a scenario where he wil have every chance to succeed.
Unless there's a fluke injury, he *is* going to get the AB's without anyone pushing him even if he's not hitting. This is his big opportunity, teams can afford to use several seasons to develop a high ceiling C/MI/OF - there's only so much leeway you can give to a 1B.
... quite possible amigo... and if my take is correct, we won't see it the next two days vs. LHP's...
In Texas, if he's keeping his head down on RHP's, will feel a lot better and G will have put yet another one in his trophy case...
Smoak and Ackley are the two guys who (along with Ichiro and possibly Figgins) have the God-given talent to win playoff games with their bats.
Zduriencik's swing at his GM pitch may ride on those two.
.........
I couldn't be more high on either hitter.
Probably Z is going to finish 1-for-2 (base hit, strikeout)
Which one's the base hit?
Ackley. Sorry, I still do not trust in Smoak