Norman

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Get your head in the game

It sounds ridiculous to say, but it does take awhile to get into the swing of things while traveling. Sure, the idea of getting to go on a trip that lasts longer than two weeks to most Americans is also absurd, but there is a substantial difference between back packing, wandering, globe trotting and vacationing. While on the long haul of a trip, travelers go through stages, traverse the uncomfortable and hopefully come out with new perspectives of themselves and the world around them.

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Starting Pitcher "Rankings" Out!

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Q.  What are starting pitcher rankings?

A.  Tennis, golf, and chess have objective "rankings." These are based on points for successes -- more points for bigger successes -- and the formulas are very well-considered.  

In most rating systems, there is a chance to gain ground in head-to-head matchups; for example, Nick Faldo at one time had won three major tournaments in two years but still ranked very slightly behind Greg Norman, because Norman had finished ahead of Faldo in H2H, 19 times out of 30.

In chess, these rankings or "ratings" are cherished, and chessplayers have extreme confidence in the ratings.  If you are rated 2100 and your opponent is rated 2200, you feel quite intimidated.

Right now, the tennis #1 is Novak Djokovic, the #2 Roger Federer.  That quite reliably implies that, other things being equal, Djokovic is the player you'd least like to face this weekend.

The golf #1 is Luke Donald.  The world chess #1 is Magnus Carlson of Norway; the champion Viswanathan Anand is the world's #4 ranked player.

Justin Verlander is the world's #1 ranked starting pitcher, with Roy Halladay #2.  This quite reliably implies that, other things being equal, there's nobody you'd less like to face than Justin Verlander.

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"Starting Pitcher Rankings" are James' invention, of course, but as you can see from the webcam pic above, Dr. D was quick to take delight in the concept.  We expect to base a lot of pre-series DOV scans on the Starting Pitcher Rankings.

Winter 2011-12 -- Getting to a +75 run differential

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'round the cyber-block this week, there's a very strong argument that the Mariners need to pick up 200-250 runs (20-25 WAR) in order to be 'serious' about contending in 2012.  In other words, that this winter Jack Zduriencik's job is to add 200+ runs to his 2011 edition.

There were many interesting ideas in this article, so Dr. D is gonna mosh off them to slam-dance into his own crunch on the situation...

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Q.  Is that true, that WAR predicts playoff teams well?

A.  But of course, m'sieur.  Any run differential formula does.  Team RC/27, team EqA, or you could just use simple run differential.

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