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Keep Weight Underside, Dept.

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Malcontent sez,

I know Sunday you were saying the swing was coming apart, in at least that one at bat you say he looked good. Do you feel he looked good in every AB? He also had that Deep Fly to Center that died 5 feet short of retying the game as well.

Tuesday night, he hit the ball very well three times.  On the first one, it looked to me like he lowered his CG, kept his front knee in and his intentionality more up the middle.

Every swing he took after that, that I saw anyway, he flew open again, keying the swing with his front hip, "floating" his weight, and hooking the ball.  The one to CF, not AS much, maybe.

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In aikido -- and in Nippon baseball -- they talk about things like "keep one point" and "keep weight underside" and it sounds like mumbo jumbo.  Keep weight underside is like ... have you ever tried to pick up a baby that didn't want to be picked up?  And it glued itself to the crib's pad?  Have you ever tried to lift an unconscious person?

In aikido, one of their 4 golden rules is "keep weight underside," sinking your weight so you're "glued" to the floor, and can avoid "floating" your weight in a fragile, reactive manner -- very possibly Saunders keeps weight underside better now than he did in 2011, even when you can't see it.

We're always "floating" our weight, if we're not unconscious, and this causes an unstable factor in our movements.  A boxer who gets scared might "get stood up" and if he does, he's toast.  Obviously no NFL player wants to be caught with his weight high.  You get the idea.

On the other hand, a doggy jumps forward and snarls, and what do you do?  You go AAAAAAHHHHH!, lift your hands, float your weight, open your eyes and mouth, because you're about to scamper off to safety.  Not because you're about to apply energy to an enemy. 

The human body is fluid, mostly water.  You can float it or sink it as if raising and lowering a bag filled with silicone.

Baseball example?  Pitchers "stand tall" in the windup, floating their weight, so that their parts move lightly, easily and gently into alignment with their spines ... and so that their floated weight then sinks back down into an increased "keep weight underside" drive forward.  Imagine a pitcher trying to throw powerfully while floating his weight?  Well, why would a hitter try to do that?

Millwood vs Masterson ... Pre-Game

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=== Future's So Bright We Gotta Wear Shades, Dept. ===

M's right now are tied for the wild card.  :- )

There's a thought floating that the 5 wins against the A's don't count.  You think they'd have counted if the Mariners lost them?  Suppose the M's were 3-and-8 right now.  Would that be taken as indicative of anything?  So why doesn't a strong 6-5 record indicate anything?

No, it says here that the Mariners have played mondo tough the first 11 games.  In 9 of those 11 games, they've faced top-of-the-rotation starting pitchers.  (Colon is real strong in the first half, and Colby Lewis was on fire.)  If anybody had offered me 6-and-5 right now, I'd a said "in a heartbeat."

That said, the Cleveland Indians are an average-solid team, in a neutral home park*, and we face an average-solid three RH starting pitchers, taking these three as a group.  The Indians have won 20 of their last 28 at Safeco.  Check the bases gained and bases lost after the series is over, and it will have been a good test.  I expect the M's to show that they are at least average-solid themselves.

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=== Justin Masterson, Exec Sum ===

He's been underrated.  He's an extreme groundballer who still racks up 7 strikeouts a game.  Would you want one'a those for the Mariners?  Back in 2010, for example, his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) was #18 in the American League, and in 2009 it was about the same.  His ERA's were higher than that, camouflaging his ability.  

M's vs Oakland - Pregame Detect-O-Vision Scan

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=== Brandon McCarthy ===

Famously used sabermetrics to reinvent his game, spending 2010 in the minors, and then coming out the other side as one of the AL's elite starting pitchers.

  • OLD McCARTHY:  Used a stereotype 3-pitch mix, FB-Change-Overhand Curve, to throw lots of fly balls and run 4.70 ERA's.
  • NEW McCARTHY:  Throws 40% fadeaway fastballs, 40% biting cutters, and 20% curves, to get tons of grounders and a 1+ walk rate.

Think Doug Fister, but maybe even better.  McCarthy was one of the league's 10 best pitchers in 2012, and his second half provided even bigger gains.  If you double his second half, you get:

  • 16-8, 3.15 ERA, 144 strikeouts, 26 walks

For the whole year, he actually led the American League in Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP), better than Felix, better than Verlander, better than anybody.  McCarthy goes into the game as a legit Opening Day starter for any team.

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The Benefits of Being Single

I know many single people who mope around, wondering what they’re going to do with the rest of their lives. I have to tell you that I love being married and I love having my daughter, and I wouldn’t trade either for the world. That said, there are many great benefits of being single—so why not enjoy them and stop worrying while you love your life? The right person will probably come along when you least expect it, and your own happiness will attract him or her right to you!

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Dates for Book Lovers

The book lover is a special human being who enjoys not only the written word itself, but also the swishing sound of the page; the dusty smell of the spine-filled store. You know who you are. And if you are lucky enough to find a fellow book lover to share your time with, you are bound to have an incredible day! (That is, unless one of you is into Hemmingway and the other is into Plath; then it might be a heated argument kind of day. Still, could be fun.)

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Dependent and Interdependent Variables

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Remember that Pixar short in which the little alien had a bank of 9,000 toggle switches and was trying to use them to lift a human into their ship?  Things got worse and worse, and at the last possible second, the big mentor alien saved the day (night) by poker-facedly luuuuunnnnnngging wayyyyyyyy over to toggle switch #3,217 ....

Dr. Grumpy hit a random toggle switch (or what do you call those switches?!) that provoked Dr. D into a post.  :- )  Whether this result makes Dr. G the idiot alien or the mentor, you be the judge....

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In the Hultzen thread, there was a ton of think-tank chat on the effectiveness of free agent bats.  Eventually we got a bit off the rails, posting mini-lists of teams that did well with and without free agent bats, which was fine, and then arguing that these mini-lists were persuasive, which maybe was not as fine.

Pepper: The Furbush - Wilhelmsen call

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=== Charlie and the Loss Factory... er, the #28 Hitter Rule ===

The M's lost 3-1 to the Angels on Sept. 7th.  We saw the furor over Eric Wedge saying that he didn't want to turn Maicer Izturis around at the plate -- didn't want Izturis batting LH (against Tom Wilhelmsen) in a game situation.

An uproar resulted when the fans, led by Baker, immediately realized that Izturis doesn't hit better lefty.

Doug Fister Is a WAR/$ Tyrannosaurus Rex (Padres 1 ...)

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=== Doug Fister's FX ===

If you're a right hand hitter, the dotted circles on this chart are there to indicate what the break on a normal ML pitch looks like to you.  (A pitch with no spin, no air resistance, thrown in a vacuum, or whatever, would hit exactly at the intersection of the X and Y axes.)

The colored starbursts indicate where Doug Fister's pitches were breaking, on Saturday.  

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