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RockiesJeff sez,
Is that what makes baseball fun to watch? Who would have guessed when the Phillies signed Lee that they would get a longer vacation? Maybe go on a short getaway with the Yankees? It makes it fun to wonder what player will go from a Baldwin into Boardwalk, especially when you know many will go the other route.
.....Dr. D has always pushed the big rotations in October, but I've got to admit that the 2011 season was a beanball. Under the earflap, that is.
Bill James, maestro of the 30,000-foot historical view, once said "Baseball history is woven on the tapestry of Hall of Fame starters," or somesuch. Give me a GM job, and a challenge to win the playoffs, and I pile my Stars & Scrubs money into a huge 1-2-3 rotation. Guarantee you.
I don't say that a Stars & Scrubs team always beats a Civics team, of course. I maintain only that Stars & Scrubs teams have a big advantage in the postseason, in part because the play gets consolidated into your 5-6 best pitchers.
(And, of course, Stars & Scrubs positions you -- over the course of several seasons -- to create a better roster in the long term. But that's another subject.)
There is probably no more vivid, colorful way to illustrate the difference between SSI, and Fangraphs, than to watch a Mega-Rotation take on a team of no-names in October.
Their WAR/$ theory maintains that a WAR is a WAR is a WAR, and that 25 players who add up to 60 WAR are equal (even in an O.K. Corral matchup, with the bright lights on and the advance scouting piled 10' high) to any other team with 60 WAR. Whether or not that "other team" has Lee, Hamels, and Halladay.
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We had several mega-rotations bring their Imperial Walker stomp into the O.K. Corral's final eight, and in this particular playoff round, the Imperial Walkers did not laser as many Clantons (much less Ewoks) as they'd hoped.
The scorecard: