Q. What do you predict going forward?
A. His FIP is 3.91, not 3.08 like his ERA is, but 3.91 is awfully good. It would make him the #16 starter in the AL.
And FIP, in this case, undersells Washburn. (For those who just joined us, FIP attempts to project an ERA if fielding didn't matter, park didn't matter and if an "average" percentage of outfield fly balls became home runs.)
=== CERA in a Vacuum ===
In a vacuum, you wouldn't use "catcher ERA" as the sole basis of any important decisions.
=== Deep Blue Can Play Chess, But It Can't Play Hockey ===
When I was a boy, I spent many years dealing with frustration over what most of the kids in my age group foud appealling. The folks that were popular always seemed shallow, cruel, uninteresting or worse. Everything turns into a popularity contest when you're 12, and for those of us (myself included) who were never winnners at that game as kids, the sting is with us always. That's why I've spent so many hours arguing with Yankee fans about Jeter's defense. As one prominent sabermetrician (as Dr.
Let's rewind to late January when the Mariners made a big splash trade, the particulars of which look like this:
Mets Receive:
Indians Receive:
Cubs Receive:
Shandler wrote, going into the season, "If he were 22 with that second-half power spike, we'd be interested. At 29, what we see is his peak flying by."
=== Sizzlers: Capt. Jack ===
The man's scouting eye commands serious respect.
One amigo has a quick snapshot below in which, at first glance, he doesn't see much correlation between track speed and the UZR table.
Which is fine as far as it goes. :- ) I'm sure you could ID the problems, as well as I could, with referring to that as a controlled study.
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=== Inkblot Tests ===
=== F-Goot Once More ===
:- ) You can't stop Taro, you can only hope to contain him. Comments threads with the daily tug-on-the-shirt as to whether I think Gutierrez is great. LOL.
Again: ... if Gutierrez can hit for a 110 OPS+, give or take, then considering that he plays in the middle of the field, and considering he's considerably BTA at that position, then he's a minor star. No argument.
When you think the rest of the world is crazy, it's time to start worrying about yourself :- ) but...
Roto-Champ Taro demands that Dr. D admit he's wrong about F-Gut. Here's my last statement on Franklin Gutierrez. (Famous last words!)
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