Justin Dunn, RHP
Git R Dunn Dept.

.

Daddy-O pointed out, quite adroitly, that owning the #31 asset of anything (Sheffield) isn't worthy of a fireworks launch if there are 32 people milling around looking for dance partners.  True dat.  The Mariners did not rake back an Edwin Diaz 4 years younger and here are a couple of pernts to take with you:

.....

1) Teams usually don't.  Usually the top 10 prospects in baseball, if they are ML-ready, are untouchable for anybody anyway.  ... well, you might as well try to deal for Kluber.

.....

2) Dipoto made a big pernt, with a megaphone, that he was going for ---- > ML-readiness.  Not helium on the top 100 list.  And I'll cheer him for that much.

Not one but at least three orgs scratched their heads, why would the M's take that one?  We offered better.  ... the D-O-V crunches that it was because Dipoto returned also OF Jarred Kelenick, apparently his pride and joy from the whole return, and RHP Gerson Bautista along with two salary-dump contracts.

Jarred Kelenick is 19, was a 1-6 pick, and is #62 among baseball's top 100, so places above Justin Dunn.  Interestingly, M's org #6 Logan Gilbert was was of two kids that Dipoto "didn't think would get to us" as they watched Kelenick and Gilbert.

With Lewis at 4, White at 5 and Gilbert at 6 I don't have much difficulty buying into the idea that the M's farm is top 10.  The question is, of course, whether that's an intelligent goal, to rip your Safeco ballclub from limb to limb to that that bushers look good...

.

JUSTIN DUNN (1-19 pick, #89 prospect in baseball)

The M's top 30 prospects list has Dunn above Kyle Lewis -- pause on that bus stop a moment, would you please -- and scouts him thusly:

Scouting grades: Fastball: 60 | Slider: 55 | Curveball: 50 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 45 | Overall: 55

Dunn spent most of his time at Boston College as a reliever, albeit one with multiple pitches. A move to the rotation during his junior season greatly improved his Draft stock, landing him in the first round where the Mets nabbed him with the No. 19 pick in the 2016 Draft. After a solid summer debut, the Mets sent Dunn straight to the Class A Advanced Florida State League for his first full season and he struggled a bit there, finishing the final month of the season on the disabled list. He bounced back with a strong 2018 season, pitching his way to Double-A, and then he was dealt to the Mariners in the offseason blockbuster trade that sent Robinson Cano and Edwin Diaz to New York.

Even when he struggled, Dunn was just fine pure stuff-wise. His fastball was consistently in the 93-95 mph range and he was able to reach back for more on occasion. His slider can serve as a true out pitch, flashing plus with good late bite. As a reliever, he hadn't worked on his changeup much, and it's behind the other two pitches, but he does show feel for it. He'll need it to get lefties out, something he's made some progress with. Dunn is athletic and repeats his delivery fairly well, but he has had some command and control issues.

A certain learning curve was to be expected, given Dunn's lack of starting experience, though being shut down at the end of his first season didn't help quiet detractors who worried about his size and durability. He answered some of those questions with his strong 2018 campaign, showing he has the stuff, and stamina, to start.

.

You could cut-and-paste any or all of that into Taijuan Walker's early minor career file folder.  Y'notice?  Not that they're stylistically mirror images, but in terms of where they are sitting on baseball's quality ladder.  Taijuan was also mid-100's give or take, would have been credited with 95 and sloppy offspeed stuff, etc.

Not bad for the 2nd guy in the deal.

BABVA,

Dr D

Blog: 

Comments

1

You can look at the Seattle/NYM trade as two trades in one.  Díaz for two young arms, a two-card draw at the deck, and Cano + a boatload of cash for Kelenic.  Interestingly, Kelenic isn’t really the key to the overall success of the swap, as aging major league hitter for prospect who fizzles (or sizzles) is a common refrain.   But if you give up a generational RP for ultimately nothing, well the, you’ve been fleeced.  So Dunn sort of becomes the key.  He has to be a MLB arm for this to ultimately work.

Of course, if Kelenic becomes Junior Lite, then we win, regardless of the arms we got.

As to Jay Bruce, I am not sure he doesn’t become a critical part of this deal rather than a salary dump throw-in.  Can Trader Jerry get a young guy, any young guy who ultimately is better than replacement, in a swap for Bruce and a boatload of his salary?  

If Jerry pulls that one off, then we are big winners in the swap. 

And am I the only guy who isn’t on the Kyle Lewis train?  I get a slowish ‘18, But his pre-injury ‘17 wasn’t a work of art.  Minus his Everett visit, he’s K-ing 24% of the time, walking 8% of the time and isn’t really blasting balls from stadiums.  

2

Lewis is projection more than stats so far.  But he's the type of guy that would have been top 2 for all but about 3 years in team history.  Maybe 6 years.  I saw more about him in video than in stats.

Kelenic, Fraley and DT-W help in a way I haven't seen pointed out. Haniger, White, Rodriguez, Lewis, Bishop, Stowers, Curletta even Dylan Moore, Juan Querecuto and Noelvi Marte are all RH.

Switch hitting catcher Cal Raleigh and Everett teammate Keegan McGovern represent impact LH hitters on the farm before. Maybe Filia, SW SS Cesar Izturis Jr., SW OF Chuck Taylor, Ian Miller or Bobby Honeyman as potential impact.

Lefties Crawford, Smith, Narvaez, Bruce and SW Santana were also acquired to go with Seager, Gamel, Gordon and Vogelbach. So some hope there for LHB building blocks, though the farm was very thin there at seasons end.

Where on the current team Haniger is the only RHB who has produced or even has much hope besides Santana who might not last here through December.

Add comment

Filtered HTML

  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd><p><br>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

shout_filter

  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.