ARIEL MIRANDA = DREW SMYLY
Calculation Of Baseball Objectives in the Laboratory, dept.

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A quick look behind the Mainframe's compute grok on this kind of fetch.  As y'know, we live to serve.

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00100  PITCHING TEMPLATE IDENTIFICATION DIVISION.

00200  PROGRAM-ID.  TRIANGULATE MARINER STARTING PITCHER PRESENT EFFECTIVENESS - FUTURE CEILING.

00300  INPUT key characteristics Miranda 6.4.17.

00310  WORKING-STORAGE VALUE 1 'Loose plus left hand fastball.'  'Eccentric ARMside breaking pitch.'  'K rate > 8.'  'HR rate > 1.1.'  'High pitch location.'

00400  CALL AMERICAN LEAGUE PITCHERS MATCH WORKING-STORAGE VALUE 1.

00500  This is a comment line.  Retrieved = Drew Smyly.

00525  PROCEED TO LEVEL 201 SCAN.

00550  OPEN FILES LINE 0400.

00575  DISPLAY ALL WORKING-STORAGE VALUES LINE 0550.

00700  SUBTRACT WORKING-STORAGE VALUE 1 FROM 00575. 

00705  This is a comment line.  Retrieved = 0.  No essential differences between Ariel Miranda and Drew Smyly.

00710

00715  This is a developer's annotation.  Between career starts 19-22, Ariel Miranda appeared to gain command of his 93 MPH fastball such that he could use it to attack

00720  various targets in the strike zone (hands, out-and-over, knees) quickly and in rhythm.  As he began to do this, his strange armside-moving offspeed pitches

00725  seemed to confuse hitters who were fighting a rearguard action against his fast-paced high fastball attack.  The other contemporary left hand pitcher who uses this approach

00730  is Drew Smyly.

00735  As the developer compares other facets of the two SPs' games, the parallels continue.  Very similar are --- > their K rates, their high pitch locations, their willingness to yield the home run,

00740  their flyball rates, their fondness for fastball early / screwball late in the count, and so forth.  The reader may be interested in developing a subroutine that

00745  matches "extreme left hand fly ball strikeout pitchers" with "extremely fast outfielders in extremely large parks."

00750  Slight advantages to Miranda:  1)  He has had only 22 career starts and is improving quickly.  2)  He has two distinct armside breaking pitches rather than one.  3)  The Pencil called his ball "hard to square up."

00760  Slight advantages to Smyly:  1)  His screwball/curveball is a better pitch than either of Miranda's offspeed pitches.  2)  His command is better.  3)  Experience.

00800  Implications:  Ariel Miranda has emerged as a solid #2-3 starter for 2017.  In rotisserie, for example, a Miranda-Seager trade is feasible depending on roster configuration.

00900  END

Comments

1

So if Felix became a #4 starter (worst-case, not assuming this) for 2018, we'd potentially be okay running out (assuming health) Paxton-Smyly-Miranda ahead of him?

That's before you hand off the trade football to JeDi, too. Yeesh. Sign me up for another, please...

2

Some folks were pretty all-in on Miranda.  I thought he was a #4 at the end of last season.  He's a #3 now.  he might get to a #2.  He won't be a #6.  he's wild enough with the FB that some days he will get beat up, but over the course of a season, he's good and getting better.

3

The Mariners have come up with a $500K starting pitcher.  It's a topic in itself, the cost-controls resources they are accumulating, the fact that they've got a lot of a rebuild done.  Pundits look at Felix' contract and assume you have to do a Wile E. Coyote hammer blow on the roster.  Completely absurd.

4

Four big contracts:  Felix, Cano, Cruz, Seager.  Cruz's goes away in two years.  Heck, you could trade him away in about 10 minutes if you wanted to.

After that, a good-to-better OF that is dirt cheap.  Segura is still really cheap, for what you get.  Soon enough he just get's Cruz's money.

he can pocket Valencia's paycheck next season, or buy hiim for $8M (If he keep hitting like this, hell get a bigger multi-year payday somewhere).

Paxton is going to get Gallardo's money next season. He will eat up part of Kuma's, the year after.  Kuma's money is going to be freed up in year, as we will likely not resign him.

Miranda, Gaviglio, Moore, Diaz....all dirt cheap.  Pazos, too.  ditto Altavilla and Bergman.  Vogs will soon hit his way here.  He's free.

Dipoto loves playing the spaghetti game with the bullpen.  I would prefer he just went out and bought a stud hoss, he can certainly afford it with the cost control he has in the near future.  But he's certianly not going to break the bank on relief arms.

This roster is flexible and cheap-ish (in that only Felix, Cano and Seager ore on the books "forever."  Segura should be).

5
SabrBrat's picture

Bill, the silver fox, over at ROOT, pinch hitting for Blowers, with some great insight into The Miranda CG and the man himself. Aside from the obvious that the pen gets a rest, Bill expanded on the importance of finishing and to see how the man does the 3rd and 4th time thru the lineup.

I

6

Servais even, calling into question Miranda's staying power.  Once Miranda got the hang of locating the heater in-and-out, the world changed for him.

I agree with you Brat on Krueger.  I think he's great.  Silver fox your description or does he get called that?  It fits.

7
SabrBrat's picture

My name. So much more there from Bill that one and post game allow and his hair competitive with Brad's :)

8

Was there English in that comment? :)

Perhaps a rephrase is in order.

11
SabrBrat's picture

I like listening to Bill. I'd like it if he had more opportunities to talk. His occasional work as a color man is top notch. I like his hair.

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