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85 wins probably gets you the AL's second wild card this year. To get to 85 wins from where they are now, the Mariners will need to win 21 of their final 35 games. (Exactly a .600 winning percentage.)
You would think that winning 21 of 35 would be hard/impossible for a team sitting just 2 games over .500, but then you look at the standings and see that the Mariners have won 21 of their 36 games since the All Star break.
To quote a wise man, "BABVA."