It took 89 wins to reach the AL Wild Card game last season. It took 86 the season prior.
So let's just say that 88 wins does it this season. 88-74.
We're 20-27. Doing some quick "figgering," we need to go 68-47 for the rest of the season, if we're going to reach 88 wins.
68-48 is a smooth 59% winning percentage. Over a full season, if you won 58% of your games you would rack up almost 96 of them of them. Did anybody real imagine this was a 96 win team, even healthy?
It will be a bit before we're at full strength with Haniger, Paxton, Felix and Iwakuma in the fold. I'm not trying to be a Debbie Downer, but don't bet anything you're afraid to lose that we make the playoffs.
I'm trying to be upbeat. Really. I know that every 88 win team has a 20-27 stretch. All of them. And I know that, mathematically, it makes no difference if that cold stretch comes at the beginning of the season, the end, or somewhere in the middle.
But emotionally, it does.
I'm trying to not feel jinxed. Really. But, I'm not sure I'm winning.
Sigh.
Keith