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This article by Scott Adams is totally consistent with my own experience.
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The arguments will morph and change over the next three months, and next year. Things will shake out. People yell at each other on TV in order to try to impose a script on what is going to happen, not even realizing that their scripts have zero effect on what IS going to happen next (for better or for worse).
The pre-written scripts, and the current scripts will fade away. But IMHO, Adams' take on it is very important as it pertains to predicting how the next year will go. The stock market wizards are indicating one thing, and the media is indicating the other. The stock market is, generally, better at predictions than is an op-ed columnist.