I don't really care how many splits and newber stats and Euclidean coniptions are offered up, the basic reality with Griffey is very, very, very simple. He's threatening the Mendoza line for one, AND ONLY ONE, reason ... he's 39 years old. And no amount of math can change one simple fact -- in 2010, he's going to be one year OLDER than he was in 2009.
Is it possible he could still hit at age 40? Sure. Reggie Jackson managed a fine season at 40, Frank Robinson, on the other hand, after posting an .894 OPS at age 39, showed a .687 the next season. Willie Mays hit .907 at age 40, and lost 100 points (and 200 PAs), the next season. NOBODY knows the exact instant when Griffey becomes an embarrassment at the plate. But does anyone who enjoyed seeing him do extraoridnary things WANT to see him continue to play until he does?
He's NOT gonna make it to 3,000 hits, or 700 HRs, or 1,900 RBI. He's not likely to make it to the WS is he stays in Seattle for another year.
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