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You'd have to get reaaally creative to adjust 410+ feet to 380 average. Smith does NOT have Jose Lopez type power, I'm sorry. Lopez isn't going to suddenly start averaging 415 on his HRs if he moves to Coors.
Whether its 405 (which is a more reasonable adjustment, 380 is not) or 410+, he has power that will translate to Safeco. Hes definetly not Jeff Cirillo or even Jose Lopez, and hes lefty. The point is, his production isn't a Coors effect. Using park
80-100 OPS is just an unrealistic adjustment IMO. Coors isn't the type of launchpad it used to be, and Smith isn't the type of hitter who'll suffer a big loss.
15-25 OPS points is reasonable, but we don't even know how good of a hitter Smith is yet. 25 OPS points off of his '09 line would have STILL made him the best hitter on the '09 Ms squad.