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If I had to guess, I'd have Smoak's '11-15 prime somewhere in the mid-800s with an average WAR of around 3.5.
He has a lot of similarities to Teixeira in player type and approach. The big difference though is Tex had an excellent RH swing and his bat was also a little quicker from the LH side. Being a converted 3B, Tex probably is slightly better defensively as well.
Before the trade I thought he'd be a mirror image of Tex (reading scouting reports and looking at the numbers), but after seeing his swing I see him as sort of a mini-Tex.
His swing really is more tailor-made for an Adrian Gonzalez type approach and I think thats what Doc may have intuitively been seeing in him when he came up with that comp.