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Taro's picture

None of those guys K'ed that much in the minors though. Thats why Chavez isn't really a comp for any of them. You have to find MLBers with similar tools, skillsets, and development curves when they were minor leaguers.
A 24 k% in the bigs is absolutely fine if its come with other skills. In the minors its a lot less forgivable unless the secondary skills are very strong. For 90+% of guys K-rate goes up in the majors, usually significantly so.
A terrible BB/K rate and high K% in the minors usually does not translate to big league success. Neither do guys who have 3000+ minor league PAs before they get a cup of coffee in the bigs. There are exceptions, but the "ODDS" are just very strongly against this player type.
I think Chavez's upside is similar to something between Preston Wilson and Nelson Cruz, but that hes got a less than a 3% chance of reaching it. This is a guy I'd dangle as a significant 2nd or 3rd piece this offseason in trade. I don't know if his stock is ever going to be higher.

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