G: Upton's price better fall to something less that Ackley or Pineda or Smoak. I suppose I "might" consider a Pineda package...but it would have to include MILB guys. I don't think I would even do a Guti-Pineda package.
Doc: I was hoping somebody would mention BJ Upton. I nearly did once or twice. Kudo's to you. BJ Upton was the original Upton hot flash. His '07 made him the newest youngest hottest thing. But since? He hasn't shown much. In '07 he hit 24 homers but he's only hit 38 in three seasons since. he had an anomolous number of walks in '08 (perhaps as pitchers were worried about his '07 power) but he hasn't shown that in the last two years...or in '07. Essentially he's a 100 OPS guy. Nice, but not that nice, and living on production he no longer shows. I suspect that Justin has some of that, ergo my use of the word "precocious" to describe him.
Taro: Any GM who would trade AGone for Justin Upton, straight up, should be relieved of command, pronto.
AG is currently a .300-.400-.500 (essentially) guy with mid-30+ homer power.....in a crappy park. Oh...he's won two GG's.
That is what Upton MIGHT become, in a hitters park.
Think of it this way. In 1999, if you had Carlos Delgado, would you have traded him for Andruw Jones? Those two hava about the same career arcs, at that point, as Upton and AG.
You could basically do the same with Jason Giambi, as his career was similar at the 1999 point, but then exploded from there (especially in OPB)...so I won't pose the question with him.
Your mileage may vary, of course.
moe
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