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Assuming career averages from the hitting side and healthy pitchers, do you think that our rotation order (Felix, Vargas, Fister, Bedard, Pineda) gives us a better shot at winning half of our games? We probably have a 3/4 chance with Felix, 1/3 chance with Vargas, 1/4 chance with Fister, 2/3 chance with Bedard, and 1/2 chance with Pineda. Contrast this with a rotation order based upon skill (Felix, Bedard, Pineda, Vargas, Fister). Bedard and Pineda definitely benefit from weaker matchups. If we had a 5 games series, it sure looks like we are playing to win games 1, 4, and 5.