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Reynolds:
April of 2011: 8-BB; 25-K
June of 2011: 21-BB; 27-K
August of 2011: 5-BB; 44-K;
Sept of 2011: 12-BB; 35-K
Just last season, Reynolds had two single-digit walk month -- and a 19 and 21 walk month back-to-back.
The one thing that is known without question is Reynolds cannot play defense. They moved him from 75% 3B in 2011 to 60% 1B in 2012. His defensive WAR is still negative.
Reynolds is 28 ... is guy who is a proven 200-K per year whiff machine. Could that improve nominally this late? Perhaps. But he's a .238 career hitter, (and .241 this season). That isn't going to change.
He's got a career .312 BABIP ... but is currently up at .341 ... with a huge .378 BABIP at home so far. (Let's see everyone's hand who thinks he's going to run a .378 BABIP in Safeco).
Reynolds destroys his offensive value with his defensive value. BBREF has his at an aggregate -0.3 this season. Except for his 2009 abberation, he's never reached 1.0 WAR in a full season, just fyi. But ... the Ms remain desperate for a DH. So, maybe if you don't have to lose a couple of games a season with his glove ...
Well ... he's only got 10 games (38 PAs at DH). So, his .589 OPS isn't really a fair look, (though it ain't comfortaing). His 20 pinch-hits include 2 HRs ... so he's at .750 as a pinch-hitter. But ... his .125/.250/.500 20-PA slashline as a pinch-hitter isn't as bizarro as his .000 BABIP and 9 Ks in that situation. Talk about all-or-nothing.
I just have never gottent this fixation on Reynolds out there. He's an .800 hitter in Baltimore ... (and Arizona before that) ... both significant pitcher and HR-friendly venues. Mind you ... he doesn't have a monster home-road split for his career, but he's a .238 career hitter ... and it's pretty much a guarantee if he moves to Safeco he WILL have a major home/road split.
Seriously ... what is the projected home slashline for ANY .238 RH hitter moving to Saffeco at this point?
The Mariners, in fact, have ALREADY experienced Mark Reynolds. His name was Richie Sexson. Though Sexson finished with a career .851 OPS (well above where Reynolds currently sits).
Sexson would finish his Seattle career with a .776 OPS in Safeco. He would finish with a .230 average in Safeco ... (though his career average was actually .261).
Other than not being as good as Sexson was at the plate ...
Other than being even worse than Sexson in the field ...
Mark Reynolds is begging for a complete replay of the Richie Sexson experience ... except you're starting from a lower starting point.