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A wedge from there ... you realistically expect to get it within 8 feet? And if so, then what's the %?
Finally, what's your chance of getting up-and-down from where he did, as opposed to his chance of hitting the approach onto the green?
Any route you take, there is risk in somewhere, right Mo ... you therefore go with the shots where you can See it and Feel it ... in this case Toms liked his short game that day ... or not...