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Is DJ a better prospect than Choi? Better than Blash? Is he really that much better than Henry? Is he going to be able to man the outfield? Can he cover the ground needed in Safeco? Does he have holes that haven't yet been exploited? He's only now playing at AA.
Color me skeptical. I got me the Ackley, Smoak, Montero Can't Miss blues.
If I want a Mustang convertable for the summer, and I think I should get more money on my trade in than being offered, or the price of the Mustang has gone way up due to increasing demand, I may stand pat, and I may be right. But I don't get to enjoy the Mustang until November, when the top is up all the time.
Thing is, if I can get Zobrist for Blash, or Kivlehan, or Nick, or Choi, or Henry, instead of DJ, then I may feel that's a fair deal, but seriously, I am simply parroting what the consensus said Dustin, Smoak and Montero was worth. I really don't see it. I do see some impressive statistics at higher levels from most of these others, however.
But hey, I am nothing if not teachable. Everything I know about our farm system I learned from Gordon, and Spec, sprinkled with some Bat and MoeDawg.
Can you name some players, who are ready to contribute to a pennant chase today, who we would be able to get for DJ Peterson, and who you would say was a good deal - for both sides? No player is untouchable. If a player is untouchable, all that really means is the holder of that player has decided he's worth more than anything anyone would offer for him. It also means, in too many cases, that the holder is going to stand pat, and fall short of a pennant run again.
Now, I am a guy who has learned patience from being an M's fan. I was prepared to have a winning season this year - no pennant - and I determined - ahead of time - that I should prepare for a fallback losing season in 2015 as we consolidate our gains. Then, in 2016, based largely on what Gordon has taught me regarding our farm system and the crop and harvest and seasons, we were going to make one helluva run and become a truly elite team. Last season I penned an article demonstrating that the Mariners would be better off if they never made a trade, ever, ever, ever. Like the guy who says invest in the Standard and Poor index, and leave it there, because you will be better off in the long run than if you shuffle it here and there in a vain attempt to beat the market.
However, the opportunity now presents itself to move a little quicker, and I can hear Matt's hair tear with every post he makes. And I like Matt. I don't want him to bald prematurely. So I'm willing to trade some of these can't miss studs in the expectation that we have lots of very good players left who are nearly as able to be productive players for us who will be left. Players who have shown skill levels in mid to high minors, and more in the pipeline.
Anyway, all that to ask this: if you wouldn't trade DJ for Zobrist, who would you trade him for? And how would that trade make sense to the other side?