Safety First - the Initiative

Dr. D has seen just criticism of the U.S. for not appreciating soccer precisely because it is not instant-gratification.

In a country, say Algeria, where daily life involves work now and rewards later, a sports match can reflect daily life and hold interest.  When the Gunners were up 4-0 on Newcastle, I wanted 5 and 6 .... :- )

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That said, SSI firmly believes that the initiative is critical in sports.  One has to try to put the opponent on the back foot.  In the NFL, pass rush is dominant, as are "sting" slants to defeat the pass rush.

If a modern NFL team, with its emphasis on pass rush, blitzing, and shotgun formations, played the 1972 Miami Dolphins, the game would be ugly...

Safety-first can reach a point at which the loss, slow-but-sure, is guaranteed.  At the highest levels, I wonder whether English football doesn't suffer against equally-talented sides who press the action.

In baseball, what would you rather see?  A 120 ERA+ and okay offense, or the Big Red Machine with a 115 offense and dubious pitching staff?  It's a litmus test.

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Jack Zduriencik seems to incline toward safety-first.  He'd rather make sure that runs are prevented, and then after that go to work on scoring them.  Dr. D's bias is the reverse.

Zduriencik's team will tell you that they are eclectic, that Milwaukee gained its success based on Fielder and Braun & Co., and that defense is simply the most cost-effective way to put a few W's on the board.

Dr. D most respectfully declines to agree.  Zduriencik's choices a la Casey Kotchman, and Endy Chavez, we thought very odd at the time.  There are always choices at 1B and LF. 

The Mariners accumulated run-prevention players, fell below critical mass on offense, and scored 513 runs.  Do you think it likely that this regime would ever allow itself to fall below critical mass defensively?  As Billy Beane sometimes does, putting Jack Cust in the outfield and so forth?

The Mariners would never neglect glovework, but they were caught out neglecting offense.  This betrays a bias of which even they might not be aware.

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Safety-first is not "incorrect."  My boyhood heroes, the Big Red Machine, did battle with the Los Angeles Dodgers.  For fully 30 years (1960-1990) the Dodgers went pitching first, second, and third.  So did the 1970's Mets, who also stung the Reds at times.  Dr. D can well appreciate a team built on run prevention.

In chess, there are players (Tigran Petrosyan, Anatoly Karpov) who are negative by nature.  They squelch threats first, second, and third, and then they look around to see where they might threaten the opponent.  You can be the best in the world using this method.  It is harder to do so... you must be much better than #2 to win passively.

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Arsenal's preference to push forward --- > annoys many Euro fans.  I wonder if they aren't the ideal EPL side for fans outside Europe?

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My $0.01,

Jeff

Comments

1

As a newbie, I'd be quite interested to hear your take on Fabregas himself, whether he has the 'stomach for the fight' that Fungineer so aptly described.
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Not trying to start a debate ... would be intrigued to hear a seasoned fan's feel for that...
One thing though, I was bemused to see Man City put Tevez and 10 other people in their own 18-yard box for 90 minutes, and then to see Fabregas go over postgame and rebuke Man City's manager ....
Not trying to be clever, just honestly wondering:  where was Man City's stomach for the fight?  Whether up in the table or no, Arsenal would not have done so at Man City, correct?
Thoughts?  :- ) 

2

I really like Fabregas. He's the pulse of the current Arsenal team much like Henry, Viera and Bergkamp were before him. He has a complete game (including goal scoring) and shows genuine leadership in the middle of the pitch. No team wouldn't want him in their side. Apart from maybe Barcelona, ironically, who already have Xavi and Iniesta (although in modern times, it never hurts to have depth in your squad). Talking of which, I was made to eat my "stomach for the fight" words after watching the gunners defeat Barcelona in a thrilling come-from-behind victory in midweek. As last year, not sure they'll be that lucky in the return leg but with an early away goal, anything can happen...
Back to the hum-drum of the FA Cup today against a team two divisions below Arsenal that'll be looking for an upset. Real football as many supporters would claim in this country (as opposed to the Las Vegas style glitz of the Champions League).

3

I'm man enough to own your 'prone to defensive lapses' assessment...
That Koscielny / Szczesny bungle, to botch the Carling Cup, was a picture worth 1,000 words... it didn't quite bring me to weeping but it did Wilshere...
Late in the game, huge in impact, and tectonic on the idiocy meter.  Slap me silly, Defensive Lapse?  That had a mile up to go, to be merely a Defensive Lapse...
By the way Fungineer, do EPL players use English to call each other off the ball?!  Has Arsenal's back line agreed a language?
:- )

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