The Mariners' site has a StatCast up on Dyson's catch last night to double off Mike Trout. Always fun.
The 46% catch probability is based on Dyson's actual in-game positioning, as opposed to a Dewan-type stat which simply assigns every spot on the field a probability based on neutral positioning. We assume that Dyson was better-than-average in his positioning. Dewan also assumes that the TYPICAL MLB positioning gives a better chance at the catch than his system would expect. In other words, teams do a great job in positioning their OF's to make catches like Dyson's.
On 100 such balls, you'd see 46 catches made by ML center fielders, a verrrrrrry high standard. But Dyson made the catch with an easy, stylish slide, giving himself all kinds of time to make the double play. Obviously Mike Trout thought the chance of a catch was quite a bit less than 46%.
Anyway, Jarrod Dyson rocks. Hard.
Here are the batter-pitcher matchups for Felix vs Ricky "Salary Albatross" Nolasco.
+ Cano, Dyson, Leonydas 4-for-5, pretty much everybody, in short AB's
- Segura is 2-for-9 (means nothing)
+ Trout, of course, has beaten Felix like a cur pup. Also Pennington
- Pujols and Calhoun are hitting .100-some in lonnggggg at bat trials
Dunno if Dr. D will be live-blogging. But the Shout Box below is right there fore ya.