Jack Wilson's Extension

At Mariner Central, Crusty Juggler linked us to Dejan Kovacevic's report that the Mariners are talking extension with Jack Wilson.  Kovacevic says that the Jack is offering Jack "a two-year contract worth more than" the Pirates' two-year ultimatum right before the Pirates traded him, "$8M."

We M's fans could hope wanly that this meant $8M for both years together, but that is of course not what Pittsburgh would have offered Wilson in a hail-mary right before trading him.  Wilson's previous contract called for $8M per year, and Wilson was playing well for the Pirates.

So apparently Jack Wilson is the shortstop that Zduriencik plans to win his next pennant with, and he's going to pay him what, $8-10M per season to do it.

*edit to add that G-Money pointed out, to my complete amazement, that 2/$8M was exactly the situation.

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=== Flip Card Dept. ===

Right at the time of the trade, we opined that Jack Wilson is a reasonable choice for SS if you're trying to win the pennant.

Our read at the time was that:

  1. Wilson was probably a legit impact glove,
  2. He'd hit a solid 80 OPS+, a pesky-type 80 against good pitching,
  3. That in math terms, this added to average-mediocre,
  4. As such, would be about a push for his $8M salary,
  5. Jack was a good illustration that RLP's aren't as easy to find as we think.

SSI, as well as 20th-century baseball consensus, has always believed that glove specialists are perfectly fine at SS and CF.   Jack Wilson was fine with me both in theory and in this specific case.

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After watching Jack for a month, we compared him to historical Yankee shortstops like Phil Rizzuto, and, on a higher level, Derek Jeter:  spray the ball around the diamond, don't get punished too much by the LH home park, play real tough, add personality to your club, challenge the other contenders, look them in the eye.

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One month after that, Sept. 7, we called attention to the fact that in the AL and in Safeco, Wilson was hitting like Ronny Cedeno. 

It does not matter how good you are with the glove:  .220/.250/.300 is a sucking chest wound.  The fundamental rules of the game of rounders do not allow any one glove to compensate for an empty .250 OBP; there isn't a human being on the planet who can catch enough batted balls to cancel a 220/250/300 batting line, because balls just don't come into your area often enough.  

Pitchers can compensate for empty .200 AVG's.  :- )   They touch the ball every play.  Gloves can't.

For comparison's sake, Yuniesky Betancourt hits 275/300/400, not 220/250/300.   Willie Bloomquist hits 260/320/330.

Gloves are fine.  .250 OBP's aren't.  Neither are .290 OBP's.  If Jack Wilson were to post a .280 OBP the next two years, that would turn out to be a very expensive RLP.

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=== What, Me Worry?, Dept. ===

Right after that, Don Wakamatsu flatly stated that Jack Wilson's bat would be fine, and that you can't judge Wilson by his Seattle tenure, because he was injured.

IceX, I think, led the cyber-counter that Jack Wilson has not, and will not, be any stranger to the DL anyway.

Dr. D would throw in here that what Wok means is that Wilson was hurt in such a way that it affected him swinging the bat.

This isn't a sabr call in any way whatsoever.  You've got the word of a great baseball man -- two great baseball men -- that Wilson is going to hit.  Better than he did, anyway.

Good to hear it.

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Part II

Comments

1
Anonymous's picture

Doc, the extension Wilson got offered WAS for 8 mil over 2 seasons:
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=4339694&campaign=rss&source=...
"Sanchez was offered $10 million over two seasons, a deal contingent upon him shelving the $8.4 million he will be owed in 2010 if he makes 600 plate appearances this season. Wilson, the most tenured Pirates player with nine seasons in uniform, was offered $8 million over two years -- or less than his club option of $8.4 million for next season alone."
So we're buying him out for $640k and then offering him 2/8 total, if the article writer is correct.  That's more reasonable.
It's not 8-10 per season.
~G
 

2
shields's picture

The most Wilson has ever been paid is 7.25M (last year).  He's not getting a raise on that.  If the Mariners wanted him at 8M per, they'd excersize the option-- not as risky.  Zero reason to think about 2/16.

3

Thanks for the link amigo.
According to Cots, the 2010 option for Jack Wilson is $8,400,000 with a $600,000 buyout. I suppose you can say "the most he's ever been paid" past tense is X dollars, but he signed a deal for an $8.4M salary for 2010.
So the rumor is that Wilson will simply play an extra year free, give or take a few bucks?
Market adjustments are one thing, but does anybody remember a guy tearing up an option year at $8M and signing a 2/$9 deal instead?  Where's the players' union?
..........
If that's what happens, good stuff.  At $5M, with a Wakamatsu and Zduriencik vote of confidence, I like the extension mucho.

4

...was 2X6 mil.  (12 mil total).  And yes...if you'rew an aging and injury proine middle infielder, you'd rather take 12 mil guaranteed over 2 years than 8 mil guaranteed over 1.  Wacky Jack would be STOOPID not to take a paycut if it means multiple years.

5
shields's picture

The option isn't Jack's, it's the teams, so he wouldn't be tearing up that option year to take a pay cut.  He either takes the M's guaranteed money or is a free agent, and he won't get that kind of money on the open market.
Freddy Sanchez also had an 8M option for 2010, but it was declined and he signed a 2/12 with the Giants.

6

Sanchez was a better playter than Wilson...WIlson is slightly higher in demand because he plays short.  That all comes out in the wash.  Jack is going to get about what Freddy got.  I guarantee it.

7

If they are, in fact, going the Wilson-at-reasonable-price-for-two-years approach, that says to me that
1. They are sticking with Lopez, since my interpretation of the O-Hud flirtation was that Lopez-Morrow-for-SS-on-the-rise was what they had in mind.  If you're not trading Lopez for a young SS (the most obvious organizational hole), then I don't see it. 
2. They see enough promise in Carlos Triunfel to use 2010 to see if he can stick at short.  A two-year Wilson deal dovetails perfectly with a Triunfel transition plan.  In which case, young SS is not the most obvious organizational hole.

8
Taro's picture

If Wak thinks Jack was hitting injured than that bodes well for his '10 offense (if hes healthy).
At the time Wilson looked like a great bet for his offense to translate to the AL, and if it does than its a great deal for the Ms.

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