How Many Great Draft Picks Does It Take?

For the record:

Matt Cain -- age 25 -- 1st-round pick out of high school in 2002 (25th overall) -- ERA+ 130

Tim Lincecum -- age 26 -- 1st-round pick out of college in 2006 (10th overall) -- ERA+ 119

Madison Bumgarner -- age 20 -- 1st-round pick out of high school in 2007 (10th overall) -- ERA+ 136

Buster Posey -- age 23 -- 1st-round pick out of college in 2008 (5th overall) -- OPS+ 129

Brian Wilson -- age 28 -- 24th-round pick out of college in 2003 -- ERA+ 226

Johnathan Sanchez -- age 27 -- 27th-round pick out of college in 2004 -- ERA+ 133

 

For the most part, frankly, the other guys are nothing special; or, at least, not guys that a skilled GM couldn't stitch together with a reasonable budget.

So, they had a streak in which four out of five first-rounders turned up huge (they had no 1st-rd pick in 04 and 05) (guess who their first pick was in 03 -- the only one not a world champion? -- *see below).  Then they had a couple of lower-round guys pan out.  Then they skillfully patched-and-filled with the Juan Uribes and Pat Burrells of the world.

How quickly did this transpire?:

07: 71-91, 5th

08: 72-90, 4th

09: 88-74, 3rd

10: 92-70, World Series champs

 

What does it mean for the Ms?  Well, in three years, Felix will be 27, Ackley 25, Smoak 26, Pineda 24, Franklin 22, Ichiro 39.  Just food for thought.

*David Aardsma

Comments

1

Gerrit Cole will be 22   :-)
 
(George Springer will be 22, also)
(and so will Matt Purke)
(and, if fortune were to so smile, Anthony Rendon will be 23)

2
RockiesJeff's picture

Thanks for the hope that gives M's Fans. One must applaud SF for being willing to take chances to go with the young studs. I give them credit for starting the kids on the mound while Zito watched.

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